2017

Association Between Medicare Expenditure Growth and Mortality Rates in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction A Comparison From 1999 Through 2014

JAMA
Donald S. Likosky, Jessica Van Parys, Weiping Zhou, William B. Borden, Milton C.Weinstein, Jonathan S. Skinner

Many studies have considered the association between Medicare spending and health outcomes at a point in time; few have considered the association between the long-term growth in spending and outcomes.

De-adoption and exnovation in the use of carotid revascularization: retrospective cohort study

British Medical Journal
Kimon Bekelis, Jonathan Skinner, Daniel Gottlieb, Philip Goodney

Objective: To determine physician characteristics associated with exnovation (scaling back on use) and de-adoption (abandoning use) of carotid revascularization.

Conclusion: Surgeons with more experience and the lowest share in carotid revascularization practice reduced their use of the procedure the most. These practice factors should be considered in quality improvement efforts when the evidence base evolves away from a specific treatment.

Structuring and Visualizing Healthcare Claims Data Using Systems Architecture Methodology

International Journal of Biological, Biomolecular, Agricultural, Food and Biotechnological Engineering
Khayal IS, Zhou W, Skinner JS

Healthcare delivery systems around the world are in crisis. The need to improve health outcomes while decreasing healthcare costs have led to an imminent call to action to transform the healthcare delivery system. While Bioinformatics and Biomedical Engineering have primarily focused on biological level data and biomedical technology, there is clear evidence of the importance of the delivery of care on patient outcomes. Classic singular decomposition approaches from reductionist science are not capable of explaining complex systems. Approaches and methods from systems science and systems engineering are utilized to structure healthcare delivery system data. Specifically, systems architecture is used to develop a multi-scale and multi-dimensional characterization of the healthcare delivery system, defined here as the Healthcare Delivery System Knowledge Base. This paper is the first to contribute a new method of structuring and visualizing a multi-dimensional and multi-scale healthcare delivery system using systems architecture in order to better understand healthcare delivery.

Prospective Identification of Patients at Risk for Unwarranted Variation in Treatment

Journal Palliat Med
Kelley AS, Bollens-Lund E, Covinsky KE, Skinner JS, Morrison RS

Understanding factors associated with treatment intensity may help ensure higher value healthcare. We identified people with incident serious illness (a serious medical condition, for example, metastatic cancer or functional impairment); calculated subjects' one-year mortality risk; and then followed them for one year. We examined relationships between individual and regional characteristics and total Medicare costs, and then stratified analyses by one-year mortality risk: low, moderate, and high.

Among seriously ill older adults, indicators of poor health are associated with higher costs. Yet, among those with poorest prognoses, nonmedical characteristics-race and regional practice patterns-have greater influence on treatment. This suggests there may be novel opportunities to improve care quality and value by assuring patient-centered, goal-directed care.

End-Of-Life Medical Spending In Last Twelve Months Of Life Is Lower Than Previously Reported

Health Affairs
French EB, McCauley J, Aragon M, Bakx P, Chalkley M, Chen SH, Christensen BJ, Chuang H, Côté-Sergent A, De Nardi M, Fan E, Échevin D, Geoffard PY, Gastaldi-Ménager C, Gørtz M, Ibuka Y, Jones JB, Kallestrup-Lamb M, Karlsson M,Klein TJ, de Lagasnerie G, Michaud PC, O’Donnell O, Rice N, Skinner JS, van Doorslaer E, Ziebarth NR, Kelly E.

Although end-of-life medical spending is often viewed as a major component of aggregate medical expenditure, accurate measures of this type of medical spending are scarce. We used detailed health care data for the period 2009–11 from Denmark, England, France, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Taiwan, the United States, and the Canadian province of Quebec to measure the composition and magnitude of medical spending in the three years before death. In all nine countries, medical spending at the end of life was high relative to spending at other ages. Spending during the last twelve months of life made up a modest share of aggregate spending, ranging from 8.5 percent in the United States to 11.2 percent in Taiwan, but spending in the last three calendar years of life reached 24.5 percent in Taiwan. This suggests that high aggregate medical spending is due not to last-ditch efforts to save lives but to spending on people with chronic conditions, which are associated with shorter life expectancies.

Managing New Health Technologies

OCED Observer
Jonathan S. Skinner and Amitabh Chandra

Countries around the world are struggling with rising healthcare bills. Every introduction of pricey new biologics, surgical procedures, and exotic “precision” treatments causes ever- increasing fiscal stress, leading to deficit spending, cutbacks in other government services, and insurance costs shouldered by firms and employees alike. Yet, freezing budgetary allocations is clearly not an option, as citizens in our ageing societies are likely to demand more and better access to new health innovations, and essential healthcare services. What can be done?

Costs and Consequences of Early Hospital Discharge After Major Inpatient Surgery in Older Adults

JAMA Surgery
Regenbogen SE, Cain-Nielsen AH, Norton EC, Chen LM, Birkmeyer JD, Skinner JS

As prospective payment transitions to bundled reimbursement, many US hospitals are implementing protocols to shorten hospitalization after major surgery. These efforts could have unintended consequences and increase overall surgical episode spending if they induce more frequent postdischarge care use or readmissions.