RESEARCH ARCHIVES
2024 REsearch
2022 research
Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
Gregory M. Ouellet, John R. O'Leary, Christopher G. Leggett, Jonathan Skinner, Mary E. Tinetti, Andrew B. Cohen
Although the potential benefits of anticoagulation for AF diminish as individuals with dementia develop more profound cognitive and functional loss, guidelines currently provide little guidance about when to consider discontinuation. This study provides valuable information to clinicians and surrogate decision-makers as they discuss whether to continue anticoagulation in patients with advanced dementia, who have high dementia-related mortality and for whom the primary goal is most frequently comfort.
Journal of the American Geriatrics
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrew Cohen, Gregory M. Ouellet, Parag Goyal, Barbara Gladders, Danette Flint, Jonathan Skinner
Background Contemporary patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction
(HFrEF) are older and have a higher prevalence of cognitive impairment than those
studied in trials. The risk/benefit trade-off of routine beta-blocker (BB) use in patients …
JAMA Network
Zack Cooper, Olivia Stiegman, Chima D. Ndumele, Becky Staiger, Jonathan Skinner
Little is known about small-area variations in health care spending and utilization across the 3 major funders of health care in the US: Medicare, Medicaid, and private insurers.
To measure regional health spending and utilization across Medicare, Medicaid, and the privately insured; to observe whether there are regions that are simultaneously low spending for all 3 payers; and to determine what factors are correlated with regional spending and utilization by payer.
JAMA
Leila Agha, Jonathan Skinner, David Chan
The US health care system experiences wide variation in diagnosis rates forcommonconditions,muchof which is drivenby differences indiagnostic practice rather than byunderlyingpatient health.1 Diagnosis-related errors are common, and a report from 2014 estimated that 12 million patientsmayexperienceanoutpatient diagnostic error each year.2 To improve health outcomes and reduce unnecessaryspending,theUShealthsystemshouldmove toward greater efficiency in medical diagnosis.
Obstet Gynecol
Kristen A. Gerjevic, Helen Newton, Christopher Leggett, Jonathan Skinner, Elisabeth Erekson, Kris Strohbehn
To measure geographic variation in rates of apical support procedures for the treatment of pelvic organ prolapse (POP) among female Medicare beneficiaries.
Journal General Internal Medicine
Amber E. Barnato, Gregory R. Johnson, John D. Birkmeyer, Jonathan S. Skinner, Alistair James O’Malley, Nancy J. O. Birkmeyer
Black and Hispanic people aremore likely to contract COVID-19, require hospitalization, and die thanWhite people due to differences in exposures, comorbidity risk, and healthcare access.
JAMA Neurology
Lauren Gilstrap, Weiping Zhou, Marcella Alsan, Anoop Nanda, Jonathan S. Skinner
Mortality rates from March through December 2020 were compared with those from March through December 2019. Excess mortality was calculated by comparing mortality rates in 2020 with rates in 2019 for specific, predetermined groups. Means were compared using t tests, and 95% CIs were estimated using the delta method.
J A C C : Heart Failure
Emily P. Zeitler, Andrea M. Austin, Christopher G. Leggett, Lauren Gilstrap, Daniel J. Friedman, Jonathan S. Skinner, Sana M. Al-Khatib
Heart failure (HF) remains a fast-growing cardiovascular disease affecting the Medicare population in large numbers (1,2). Increasingly, HF is managed as a chronic disease, in part because of the incremental improvements achieved with medical and device-based therapies. Despite the large proportion of older patients with HF, clinical trials designed to assess HF interventions rarely include an adequate number of older patients...
Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
Amber E. Barnato, John D. Birkmeyer, Jonathan S. Skinner, A. James O’Malley, Nancy J.O. Birkmeyer
Older adults are at elevated risk for severe illness and death from COVID-19. Those living in nursing homes, including patients with dementia, have been severely affected.1 National vital statistics data is likely an underestimate of the mortality impacts of COVID-19 in dementia populations, for whom non-COVID-19 attributed excess mortality increased significantly during the 2020 Spring and Summer surges.2 Many nursing home residents received end-of-life palliation in place, electing to avoid hospital transfer,3 consistent with preferences to avoid lifesustaining treatments.4–8 However, among patients with dementia who were hospitalized, many of whom may have been community dwelling, little is known about their treatment intensity and outcomes.
2021 research
JAMA Health Forum
James N. Weinstein, William B. Weeks, Jonathan S. Skinner
In 1907, a financial collapse led to a major US national recession, a 17%decline in industrial output,1 and creation of the Federal Reserve system in 1913 to “provide a means by which periodic panics which shake the American Republic and do it enormous injury shall be stopped.”2 The current COVID-19 pandemic shares many of the same causes as the Panic of 1907: lack of a coordinated federal response, lax state-level regulations, and absence of clear strategies to respond and recover from the initial outbreak. Therefore, we propose a new entity paralleling the Federal Reserve —the Federal Health Authority (FHA)—to anticipate health shocks, coordinate future responses, and address longer-term problems in the nation’s health and health care. Just as the Federal Reserve is tasked with sustainably maximizing the nation’s financial health, the FHAwould be tasked with doing the same for the nation’s health.
Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M. Austin, Barbara Gladders, Parag Goyal, A. James O’Malley, Amber Barnato, Anna N.A, Tosteson, Jonathan S. Skinner
Neurohormonal therapy, which includes beta-blockers and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEi/ARBs), is the cornerstone of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) treatment. While neurohormonal therapies have demonstrated efficacy in randomized clinical trials, older patients, which now comprise the majority of HFrEF patients, were underrepresented in those original trials. This study aimed to determine the association between short- (30 day) and long-term (1 year) mortality and the use of neurohormonal therapy in HFrEF patients, across the age spectrum.
Journal of Economic Perspectives
Benjamin K. Couillard, Christopher L. Foote, Kavish Gandhi, Ellen Meara, and Jonathan Skinner
The 21st century has been a period of rising inequality in both income and health. In this paper, we find that geographic inequality in mortality for midlife Americans increased by about 70 percent between 1992 and 2016. This was not solely because of the increasing importance of “deaths of despair,” or by rising spatial income inequality during the same period. Instead, we find evidence that high-income states in 1992 were better able to enact public health strategies and adopt behaviors that, over the next quarter-century, resulted in pronounced relative declines in mortality. The substantial longevity gains in high-income states led to greater cross-state inequality in mortality.
Health Affairs (Millwood)
John D. Birkmeyer, Amber Barnato, Nancy Birkmeyer, Robert Kessler, Jonathan Skinner
Hospital admissions in the US fell dramatically with the onset of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. However, little is known about differences in admissions patterns among patient groups or the extent of the rebound. In this study of approximately one million medical admissions from a large, nationally representative hospitalist group, we found that declines in non-COVID-19 admissions from February to April 2020 were generally similar across patient demographic subgroups and exceeded 20 percent for all primary admission diagnoses. By late June/early July 2020, overall non-COVID-19 admissions had rebounded to 16 percent below prepandemic baseline volume (8 percent including COVID-19 admissions). Non-COVID-19 admissions were substantially lower for patients residing in majority-Hispanic neighborhoods (32 percent below baseline) and remained well below baseline for patients with pneumonia (−44 percent), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/asthma (−40 percent), sepsis (−25 percent), urinary tract infection (−24 percent), and acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (−22 percent). Health system leaders and public health authorities should focus on efforts to ensure that patients with acute medical illnesses can obtain hospital care as needed during the pandemic to avoid adverse outcomes.
American Geriatric Society
Amber E. Barnato, John D. Birkmeyer, Jonathan S. Skinner, A. James O’Malley, Nancy J. O. Birkmeyer
Background: We sought to determine whether dementia is associated with treatment intensity and
mortality in patients hospitalized with COVID-19.
Methods: Review of the medical records for patients > 60 years of age (n=5,394) hospitalized with
COVID-19 from 132 community hospitals between March and June, 2020. We examined the
relationships between dementia and treatment intensity (including intensive care unit admission (ICU)
and mechanical ventilation (MV) and care processes that may influence them, including advance care
planning (ACP) billing and do-not-resuscitate (DNR) orders) and in-hospital mortality adjusting for age,
sex, race/ethnicity, comorbidity, month of hospitalization, and clustering within hospital. We further
explored the effect of ACP conversations on the relationship between dementia and outcomes, both at
the individual patient level (effect of having ACP) and at the hospital level (effect of being treated at a
hospital with low: <10%, medium 10-20%, or high >20% ACP rates)…
JAMA Internal Medicine
Ezekiel J. Emanuel, Emily Gudbranson, Jessica Van Parys, et al
Question Are the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties better than the health outcomes of average residents in other developed countries?
Findings In this comparative effectiveness study of 6 health outcomes, White US citizens in the 1% and 5% highest-income counties obtained better health outcomes than average US citizens but had worse outcomes for infant and maternal mortality, colon cancer, childhood acute lymphocytic leukemia, and acute myocardial infarction compared with average citizens of other developed countries.
Meaning For 6 health outcomes, the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties are better than those of average US citizens but are not consistently better than those of average residents in many other developed countries, suggesting that in the US, even if everyone achieved the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties, health indicators would still lag behind those in many other countries.
Abstract
Importance The average health outcomes in the US are not as good as the average health outcomes in other developed countries. However, whether high-income US citizens have better health outcomes than average individuals in other developed countries is unknown….
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Olivia A Sacks, Amber E Barnato, Jonathan S Skinner, John D Birkmeyer, Annie Fowler, Nancy Birkmeyer
There have been numerous reports of SARS-CoV-2 infection among health care workers (HCWs) across the globe. However, data is lacking on risk of hospital vs. community COVID-19 exposure faced by US providers. We report COVID-19 infection rates for physicians (MDs) and advance practice providers (APPs) in hospital medicine and critical care at a national acute care medical practice between March and December 2020.
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M Austin, A James O’Malley, Barbara Gladders, Amber E Barnato, Anna Tosteson, Jonathan Skinner
Background
The demographics of heart failure are changing. The rate of growth of the “older” heart failure population, specifically those≥ 75, has outpaced that of any other age group. These older patients were underrepresented in the early beta-blocker trials. There are several reasons, including a decreased potential for mortality benefit and increased risk of side effects, why the risk/benefit tradeoff may be different in this population.
Objective
We aimed to determine the association between receipt of a beta-blocker after heart failure discharge and early mortality and readmission rates among patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), specifically patients aged 75+.
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M Austin, Barbara Gladders, Parag Goyal, A James O'Malley, Amber Barnato, Anna NA Tosteson, Jonathan S Skinner
Background/Objectives
Neurohormonal therapy, which includes beta‐blockers and angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEi/ARBs), is the cornerstone of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) treatment. While neurohormonal therapies have demonstrated efficacy in randomized clinical trials, older patients, which now comprise the majority of HFrEF patients, were underrepresented in those original trials. This study aimed to determine the association between short‐ (30 day) and long‐term (1 year) mortality and the use of neurohormonal therapy in HFrEF patients, across the age spectrum.
Design/Setting/Participants
This is a population‐based, retrospective, cohort study between January 2008 and December 2015. We used 100% Medicare Parts A and B and a random 40% sample of Part D to create a cohort of 295,494 fee‐for‐service beneficiaries with at least …
Journal of the American Heart Association
Michael N Young, Stephen Kearing, David Malenka, Philip P Goodney, Jonathan Skinner, Alexander Iribarne
Background
Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has transformed the management of aortic valve stenosis. However, little national data are available characterizing the geographic and demographic dispersion of this disruptive technology relative to surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR).
Methods and Results
In this US claims‐based study, we analyzed a 100% sample of fee‐for‐service Medicare beneficiaries from 2012 to 2017 and examined national rates of TAVR versus SAVR. Procedure rates were compared across years as a function of age, sex, race, and geography for TAVR and SAVR beneficiaries. There was significant growth in TAVR from 15.4 beneficiaries/100 000 enrollees in 2012 to 90.6 in 2017 (P<0.001). SAVR rates declined from 92.8 beneficiaries/100 000 enrollees in 2012 to 63.5 in 2017 (P<0.001). The growth of TAVR varied as a function of age (P<0.0001). While TAVR was the …
2020 reseach
Health Affairs
John D. Birkmeyer, Amber Barnato, Nancy Birkmeyer, Robert Bessler, and Jonathan Skinner
Hospital admissions in the US fell dramatically with the onset of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. However, little is known about differences in admissions patterns among patient groups or the extent of the rebound. In this study of approximately 1 million medical admissions from a large nationally representative hospitalist group, we found that declines in non-COVID-19 admissions from February to April 2020 were generally similar across patient demographic subgroups and exceeded 20% for all primary admission diagnoses. By late June/early July 2020, overall non-COVID-19 admissions had rebounded to 16% below pre-pandemic baseline volume (8% including COVID-19 admissions). Non-COVID-19 admissions were substantially lower for patients residing in majority-Hispanic neighborhoods (32% below baseline) and remained well below baseline for patients with pneumonia (−44%), COPD/asthma (−40%), sepsis (−25%), urinary tract infection (−24%) and acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), −22%). Health system leaders and public health authorities should focus on efforts to ensure that patients with acute medical illnesses can obtain hospital care as needed during the pandemic to avoid adverse outcomes.
JAMA Network
Weifeng Weng, PhD; Jessica Van Parys, PhD; Rebecca S. Lipner, PhD; Jonathan S. Skinner, PhD; Brenda E. Sirovich, MD, MS
Use of healthcare services and physician practice patterns have been shown to vary widely across the United States. Although practice patterns—in particular, physicians’ ability to provide high-quality, high-value care—develop during training, the association of a physician’s regional practice environment with that ability is less well understood.
Military Medicine
William Patrick Luan, DrPH; LCDR Todd C. Leroux , MSC, USN; Cara Olsen, DrPH;
Lt. Gen. (Ret.) Douglas Robb , MC, USAF; Jonathan S. Skinner, PhD; Patrick Richard, PhD
Within the Military Health System (MHS), facilities have struggled to meet minimum recommended volume thresholds for certain procedures. Understanding variations in complication rates and cost can help policymakers tailor policy to target improvement. Our objective was to quantify the variation in bariatric surgery complication rates and costs across a sample of military hospitals. Materials and Methods: We study a retrospective cohort of 38 military surgeons practicing in 21 military treatment facilities from 2007 to 2014 who performed 1,277 bariatric surgeries. Data from the Centralized Credentials and Quality Assurance System, which provides education and training characteristics of physicians, were linked to patient encounter data from the MHS Data Repository. Physicians were included if they performed at least five bariatric surgeries over the study period. Patients were included if they had a diagnosis of obesity (body mass index > 30) and underwent a bariatric weight loss surgery. We calculated and summarized inpatient costs and complication rates across both surgeons and facilities using multivariable mixed-effects linear or logistic models. We used these models to calculate adjusted complication rates and average costs across both providers and hospitals to characterize variation in bariatric outcomes within the MHS. This study was considered exempt by the Uniformed Services University Institutional Review Board. Results: We find evidence of large variations in both complication rates and costs per admission. Overall, we found a 15.5% complication rate across the sample. When comparing averages across facilities, we find large variation in complications (49.4% coefficient of variation [CV]) and procedure costs (25.9% CV). Controlling for patient comorbidities, BMI, and year attenuates much of the variation (12.6% CV complications, 4.4% CV cost), but cannot completely explain differences across facilities. Our model suggests that complications cost 32% more than complication-free surgeries on average suggesting that quality improvement efforts could potentially yield large savings. Conclusions: We find large variations in complication rates even after controlling for patient health. Furthermore, surgical complications are a significant determinant of cost. Policymakers should target efforts to improve surgical quality across facilities and physicians. Surgical quality improvement initiatives could produce savings to the MHS through reduced complications and improved surgical readiness.
JAGS
Amy S. Kelley, MD, MSHS, Kathleen McGarry, PhD, Evan Bollens-Lund, MA, Omari-Khalid Rahman, MA, Mohammed Husain, MA, Katelyn B. Ferreira, MPH, and Jonathan S. Skinner, PhD
Care for older adults with dementia during the final years of life is costly, and families shoulder much of this burden. We aimed to assess the financial burden of care for those with and without dementia, and to explore differences across residential settings.
Circulation: Cardiovascular Quality and Outcomes
Lauren Gilstrap, MD, MPH, Jonathan S. Skinner, PhD, Barbara Gladders, MS, A. James O’Malley, PhD, Amber E. Barnato, MD,MPH, Anna N. A. Tosteson, ScD, Andrea M. Austin, PhD
To combat the high cost and increasing burden of quality reporting, the Medicare Payment Advisory (MedPAC) has recommended using claims data wherever possible to measure clinical quality. In this article, we use a cohort of Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction and existing quality metrics to explore the impact of changes in quality metric methodology on measured quality performance, the association with patient outcomes, and hospital rankings.
Journal of Patient-Reported Outcomes
Paul J. Barr , Scott A. Berry , Wendolyn S. Gozansky , Deanna B. McQuillan , Colleen Ross , Don Carmichael, Andrea M. Austin , Travis D. Satterlund , Karen E. Schifferdecker , Lora Council , Michelle D. Dannenberg , Ariel T. Wampler , Eugene C. Nelson and Jonathan Skinner
Objective: It is unclear whether data from patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) are captured and used by clinicians despite policy initiatives. We examined the extent to which fall risk and urinary incontinence (UI) reported on PROMS and provided to clinicians prior to a patient visit are subsequently captured in the electronic medical record (EMR). Additionally, we aimed to determine whether the use of PROMs and EMR documentation is higher for visits where PROM data was provided to clinicians.
Journal of the American Geriatric Society
Kelley AS, McGarry K, Bollens-Lund E, Rahman OK, Husain M, Ferreira KB, Skinner JS.
Care for older adults with dementia during the final years of life is costly, and families shoulder much of this burden. We aimed to assess the financial burden of care for those with and without dementia, and to explore differences across residential settings. Using the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) and linked claims, we examined total healthcare spending and proportion by payer-Medicare, Medicaid, out-of-pocket, and calculated costs of informal caregiving-over the last 7 years of life, comparing those with and without dementia and stratifying by residential setting. We found that, consistent with prior studies, people with dementia experience significantly higher costs, with a disproportionate share falling on patients and families. This pattern is most striking among community residents with dementia, whose families shoulder 64% of total expenditures (including $176,180 informal caregiving costs and $55,550 out-of-pocket costs), compared with 43% for people with dementia residing in nursing homes ($60,320 informal caregiving costs and $105,590 out-of-pocket costs). These findings demonstrate disparities in financial burden shouldered by families of those with dementia, particularly among those residing in the community. They highlight the importance of considering the residential setting in research, programs, and policies.
2019 research
JAMA Health Forum
James N. Weinstein, William B. Weeks, Jonathan S. Skinner
In 1907, a financial collapse led to a major US national recession, a 17%decline in industrial output,1 and creation of the Federal Reserve system in 1913 to “provide a means by which periodic panics which shake the American Republic and do it enormous injury shall be stopped.”2 The current COVID-19 pandemic shares many of the same causes as the Panic of 1907: lack of a coordinated federal response, lax state-level regulations, and absence of clear strategies to respond and recover from the initial outbreak. Therefore, we propose a new entity paralleling the Federal Reserve —the Federal Health Authority (FHA)—to anticipate health shocks, coordinate future responses, and address longer-term problems in the nation’s health and health care. Just as the Federal Reserve is tasked with sustainably maximizing the nation’s financial health, the FHAwould be tasked with doing the same for the nation’s health.
Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M. Austin, Barbara Gladders, Parag Goyal, A. James O’Malley, Amber Barnato, Anna N.A, Tosteson, Jonathan S. Skinner
Neurohormonal therapy, which includes beta-blockers and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEi/ARBs), is the cornerstone of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) treatment. While neurohormonal therapies have demonstrated efficacy in randomized clinical trials, older patients, which now comprise the majority of HFrEF patients, were underrepresented in those original trials. This study aimed to determine the association between short- (30 day) and long-term (1 year) mortality and the use of neurohormonal therapy in HFrEF patients, across the age spectrum.
Journal of Economic Perspectives
Benjamin K. Couillard, Christopher L. Foote, Kavish Gandhi, Ellen Meara, and Jonathan Skinner
The 21st century has been a period of rising inequality in both income and health. In this paper, we find that geographic inequality in mortality for midlife Americans increased by about 70 percent between 1992 and 2016. This was not solely because of the increasing importance of “deaths of despair,” or by rising spatial income inequality during the same period. Instead, we find evidence that high-income states in 1992 were better able to enact public health strategies and adopt behaviors that, over the next quarter-century, resulted in pronounced relative declines in mortality. The substantial longevity gains in high-income states led to greater cross-state inequality in mortality.
Health Affairs (Millwood)
John D. Birkmeyer, Amber Barnato, Nancy Birkmeyer, Robert Kessler, Jonathan Skinner
Hospital admissions in the US fell dramatically with the onset of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. However, little is known about differences in admissions patterns among patient groups or the extent of the rebound. In this study of approximately one million medical admissions from a large, nationally representative hospitalist group, we found that declines in non-COVID-19 admissions from February to April 2020 were generally similar across patient demographic subgroups and exceeded 20 percent for all primary admission diagnoses. By late June/early July 2020, overall non-COVID-19 admissions had rebounded to 16 percent below prepandemic baseline volume (8 percent including COVID-19 admissions). Non-COVID-19 admissions were substantially lower for patients residing in majority-Hispanic neighborhoods (32 percent below baseline) and remained well below baseline for patients with pneumonia (−44 percent), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/asthma (−40 percent), sepsis (−25 percent), urinary tract infection (−24 percent), and acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (−22 percent). Health system leaders and public health authorities should focus on efforts to ensure that patients with acute medical illnesses can obtain hospital care as needed during the pandemic to avoid adverse outcomes.
American Geriatric Society
Amber E. Barnato, John D. Birkmeyer, Jonathan S. Skinner, A. James O’Malley, Nancy J. O. Birkmeyer
Background: We sought to determine whether dementia is associated with treatment intensity and
mortality in patients hospitalized with COVID-19.
Methods: Review of the medical records for patients > 60 years of age (n=5,394) hospitalized with
COVID-19 from 132 community hospitals between March and June, 2020. We examined the
relationships between dementia and treatment intensity (including intensive care unit admission (ICU)
and mechanical ventilation (MV) and care processes that may influence them, including advance care
planning (ACP) billing and do-not-resuscitate (DNR) orders) and in-hospital mortality adjusting for age,
sex, race/ethnicity, comorbidity, month of hospitalization, and clustering within hospital. We further
explored the effect of ACP conversations on the relationship between dementia and outcomes, both at
the individual patient level (effect of having ACP) and at the hospital level (effect of being treated at a
hospital with low: <10%, medium 10-20%, or high >20% ACP rates)…
JAMA Internal Medicine
Ezekiel J. Emanuel, Emily Gudbranson, Jessica Van Parys, et al
Question Are the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties better than the health outcomes of average residents in other developed countries?
Findings In this comparative effectiveness study of 6 health outcomes, White US citizens in the 1% and 5% highest-income counties obtained better health outcomes than average US citizens but had worse outcomes for infant and maternal mortality, colon cancer, childhood acute lymphocytic leukemia, and acute myocardial infarction compared with average citizens of other developed countries.
Meaning For 6 health outcomes, the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties are better than those of average US citizens but are not consistently better than those of average residents in many other developed countries, suggesting that in the US, even if everyone achieved the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties, health indicators would still lag behind those in many other countries.
Abstract
Importance The average health outcomes in the US are not as good as the average health outcomes in other developed countries. However, whether high-income US citizens have better health outcomes than average individuals in other developed countries is unknown….
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Olivia A Sacks, Amber E Barnato, Jonathan S Skinner, John D Birkmeyer, Annie Fowler, Nancy Birkmeyer
There have been numerous reports of SARS-CoV-2 infection among health care workers (HCWs) across the globe. However, data is lacking on risk of hospital vs. community COVID-19 exposure faced by US providers. We report COVID-19 infection rates for physicians (MDs) and advance practice providers (APPs) in hospital medicine and critical care at a national acute care medical practice between March and December 2020.
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M Austin, A James O’Malley, Barbara Gladders, Amber E Barnato, Anna Tosteson, Jonathan Skinner
Background
The demographics of heart failure are changing. The rate of growth of the “older” heart failure population, specifically those≥ 75, has outpaced that of any other age group. These older patients were underrepresented in the early beta-blocker trials. There are several reasons, including a decreased potential for mortality benefit and increased risk of side effects, why the risk/benefit tradeoff may be different in this population.
Objective
We aimed to determine the association between receipt of a beta-blocker after heart failure discharge and early mortality and readmission rates among patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), specifically patients aged 75+.
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M Austin, Barbara Gladders, Parag Goyal, A James O'Malley, Amber Barnato, Anna NA Tosteson, Jonathan S Skinner
Background/Objectives
Neurohormonal therapy, which includes beta‐blockers and angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEi/ARBs), is the cornerstone of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) treatment. While neurohormonal therapies have demonstrated efficacy in randomized clinical trials, older patients, which now comprise the majority of HFrEF patients, were underrepresented in those original trials. This study aimed to determine the association between short‐ (30 day) and long‐term (1 year) mortality and the use of neurohormonal therapy in HFrEF patients, across the age spectrum.
Design/Setting/Participants
This is a population‐based, retrospective, cohort study between January 2008 and December 2015. We used 100% Medicare Parts A and B and a random 40% sample of Part D to create a cohort of 295,494 fee‐for‐service beneficiaries with at least …
Journal of the American Heart Association
Michael N Young, Stephen Kearing, David Malenka, Philip P Goodney, Jonathan Skinner, Alexander Iribarne
Background
Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has transformed the management of aortic valve stenosis. However, little national data are available characterizing the geographic and demographic dispersion of this disruptive technology relative to surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR).
Methods and Results
In this US claims‐based study, we analyzed a 100% sample of fee‐for‐service Medicare beneficiaries from 2012 to 2017 and examined national rates of TAVR versus SAVR. Procedure rates were compared across years as a function of age, sex, race, and geography for TAVR and SAVR beneficiaries. There was significant growth in TAVR from 15.4 beneficiaries/100 000 enrollees in 2012 to 90.6 in 2017 (P<0.001). SAVR rates declined from 92.8 beneficiaries/100 000 enrollees in 2012 to 63.5 in 2017 (P<0.001). The growth of TAVR varied as a function of age (P<0.0001). While TAVR was the …
2018 reseach
JAMA Health Forum
James N. Weinstein, William B. Weeks, Jonathan S. Skinner
In 1907, a financial collapse led to a major US national recession, a 17%decline in industrial output,1 and creation of the Federal Reserve system in 1913 to “provide a means by which periodic panics which shake the American Republic and do it enormous injury shall be stopped.”2 The current COVID-19 pandemic shares many of the same causes as the Panic of 1907: lack of a coordinated federal response, lax state-level regulations, and absence of clear strategies to respond and recover from the initial outbreak. Therefore, we propose a new entity paralleling the Federal Reserve —the Federal Health Authority (FHA)—to anticipate health shocks, coordinate future responses, and address longer-term problems in the nation’s health and health care. Just as the Federal Reserve is tasked with sustainably maximizing the nation’s financial health, the FHAwould be tasked with doing the same for the nation’s health.
Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M. Austin, Barbara Gladders, Parag Goyal, A. James O’Malley, Amber Barnato, Anna N.A, Tosteson, Jonathan S. Skinner
Neurohormonal therapy, which includes beta-blockers and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEi/ARBs), is the cornerstone of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) treatment. While neurohormonal therapies have demonstrated efficacy in randomized clinical trials, older patients, which now comprise the majority of HFrEF patients, were underrepresented in those original trials. This study aimed to determine the association between short- (30 day) and long-term (1 year) mortality and the use of neurohormonal therapy in HFrEF patients, across the age spectrum.
Journal of Economic Perspectives
Benjamin K. Couillard, Christopher L. Foote, Kavish Gandhi, Ellen Meara, and Jonathan Skinner
The 21st century has been a period of rising inequality in both income and health. In this paper, we find that geographic inequality in mortality for midlife Americans increased by about 70 percent between 1992 and 2016. This was not solely because of the increasing importance of “deaths of despair,” or by rising spatial income inequality during the same period. Instead, we find evidence that high-income states in 1992 were better able to enact public health strategies and adopt behaviors that, over the next quarter-century, resulted in pronounced relative declines in mortality. The substantial longevity gains in high-income states led to greater cross-state inequality in mortality.
Health Affairs (Millwood)
John D. Birkmeyer, Amber Barnato, Nancy Birkmeyer, Robert Kessler, Jonathan Skinner
Hospital admissions in the US fell dramatically with the onset of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. However, little is known about differences in admissions patterns among patient groups or the extent of the rebound. In this study of approximately one million medical admissions from a large, nationally representative hospitalist group, we found that declines in non-COVID-19 admissions from February to April 2020 were generally similar across patient demographic subgroups and exceeded 20 percent for all primary admission diagnoses. By late June/early July 2020, overall non-COVID-19 admissions had rebounded to 16 percent below prepandemic baseline volume (8 percent including COVID-19 admissions). Non-COVID-19 admissions were substantially lower for patients residing in majority-Hispanic neighborhoods (32 percent below baseline) and remained well below baseline for patients with pneumonia (−44 percent), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/asthma (−40 percent), sepsis (−25 percent), urinary tract infection (−24 percent), and acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (−22 percent). Health system leaders and public health authorities should focus on efforts to ensure that patients with acute medical illnesses can obtain hospital care as needed during the pandemic to avoid adverse outcomes.
American Geriatric Society
Amber E. Barnato, John D. Birkmeyer, Jonathan S. Skinner, A. James O’Malley, Nancy J. O. Birkmeyer
Background: We sought to determine whether dementia is associated with treatment intensity and
mortality in patients hospitalized with COVID-19.
Methods: Review of the medical records for patients > 60 years of age (n=5,394) hospitalized with
COVID-19 from 132 community hospitals between March and June, 2020. We examined the
relationships between dementia and treatment intensity (including intensive care unit admission (ICU)
and mechanical ventilation (MV) and care processes that may influence them, including advance care
planning (ACP) billing and do-not-resuscitate (DNR) orders) and in-hospital mortality adjusting for age,
sex, race/ethnicity, comorbidity, month of hospitalization, and clustering within hospital. We further
explored the effect of ACP conversations on the relationship between dementia and outcomes, both at
the individual patient level (effect of having ACP) and at the hospital level (effect of being treated at a
hospital with low: <10%, medium 10-20%, or high >20% ACP rates)…
JAMA Internal Medicine
Ezekiel J. Emanuel, Emily Gudbranson, Jessica Van Parys, et al
Question Are the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties better than the health outcomes of average residents in other developed countries?
Findings In this comparative effectiveness study of 6 health outcomes, White US citizens in the 1% and 5% highest-income counties obtained better health outcomes than average US citizens but had worse outcomes for infant and maternal mortality, colon cancer, childhood acute lymphocytic leukemia, and acute myocardial infarction compared with average citizens of other developed countries.
Meaning For 6 health outcomes, the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties are better than those of average US citizens but are not consistently better than those of average residents in many other developed countries, suggesting that in the US, even if everyone achieved the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties, health indicators would still lag behind those in many other countries.
Abstract
Importance The average health outcomes in the US are not as good as the average health outcomes in other developed countries. However, whether high-income US citizens have better health outcomes than average individuals in other developed countries is unknown….
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Olivia A Sacks, Amber E Barnato, Jonathan S Skinner, John D Birkmeyer, Annie Fowler, Nancy Birkmeyer
There have been numerous reports of SARS-CoV-2 infection among health care workers (HCWs) across the globe. However, data is lacking on risk of hospital vs. community COVID-19 exposure faced by US providers. We report COVID-19 infection rates for physicians (MDs) and advance practice providers (APPs) in hospital medicine and critical care at a national acute care medical practice between March and December 2020.
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M Austin, A James O’Malley, Barbara Gladders, Amber E Barnato, Anna Tosteson, Jonathan Skinner
Background
The demographics of heart failure are changing. The rate of growth of the “older” heart failure population, specifically those≥ 75, has outpaced that of any other age group. These older patients were underrepresented in the early beta-blocker trials. There are several reasons, including a decreased potential for mortality benefit and increased risk of side effects, why the risk/benefit tradeoff may be different in this population.
Objective
We aimed to determine the association between receipt of a beta-blocker after heart failure discharge and early mortality and readmission rates among patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), specifically patients aged 75+.
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M Austin, Barbara Gladders, Parag Goyal, A James O'Malley, Amber Barnato, Anna NA Tosteson, Jonathan S Skinner
Background/Objectives
Neurohormonal therapy, which includes beta‐blockers and angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEi/ARBs), is the cornerstone of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) treatment. While neurohormonal therapies have demonstrated efficacy in randomized clinical trials, older patients, which now comprise the majority of HFrEF patients, were underrepresented in those original trials. This study aimed to determine the association between short‐ (30 day) and long‐term (1 year) mortality and the use of neurohormonal therapy in HFrEF patients, across the age spectrum.
Design/Setting/Participants
This is a population‐based, retrospective, cohort study between January 2008 and December 2015. We used 100% Medicare Parts A and B and a random 40% sample of Part D to create a cohort of 295,494 fee‐for‐service beneficiaries with at least …
Journal of the American Heart Association
Michael N Young, Stephen Kearing, David Malenka, Philip P Goodney, Jonathan Skinner, Alexander Iribarne
Background
Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has transformed the management of aortic valve stenosis. However, little national data are available characterizing the geographic and demographic dispersion of this disruptive technology relative to surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR).
Methods and Results
In this US claims‐based study, we analyzed a 100% sample of fee‐for‐service Medicare beneficiaries from 2012 to 2017 and examined national rates of TAVR versus SAVR. Procedure rates were compared across years as a function of age, sex, race, and geography for TAVR and SAVR beneficiaries. There was significant growth in TAVR from 15.4 beneficiaries/100 000 enrollees in 2012 to 90.6 in 2017 (P<0.001). SAVR rates declined from 92.8 beneficiaries/100 000 enrollees in 2012 to 63.5 in 2017 (P<0.001). The growth of TAVR varied as a function of age (P<0.0001). While TAVR was the …
2017 research
JAMA Network Open
Ellesse-Roselee L. Akr., Deanna Chyn, Heather A. Carlos, Amber E. Barnato, Jonathan Skinner
Considerable racial segregation exists in U.S. hospitals which cannot be explained by where patients live. Using 2019 Medicare claims data linked to geographic data, we define a hospital’s market based on ZIP-code based driving time, and estimate the racial composition of all hospitalizations in that market. We then compare the racial composition of the hospital with the racial composition of its market. In our sample of 4.9 million hospital admissions, we find a considerable degree of sorting, with Black Medicare enrollees more likely admitted to some hospitals in their market, and less likely to be admitted to other hospitals nearby. At a regional level, we observed the greatest degree of patient sorting in the New York, Chicago, and Detroit HRRs.
READ MORE
The journal of Rural Health
Emily P. Zeitler, Joanna Joly, Christopher G. Leggett, Sandra L.Wong, A. JamesO’Malley, Sally A. Kraft, Matthew B. Mackwood, Sarah T. Jones,Jonathan S. Skinner
The role of comorbidities, medications, and social determinants of health in understanding urban-rural outcome differences among patients with heart failure.
Military Medicine
Christopher G. Leggett, Rachel O. Schmidt, Jonathan Skinner, Jon D. Lurie, William Patrick Luan
Introduction There is a longstanding debate about whether health care is more efficiently provided by the public or private sector. The debate is particularly relevant to the Military Health System (MHS), which delivers care through a combination of …
Spine Health Services Research
Jon D. Lurie, Christopher G. Leggett, Jonathan Skinner, Eugene Carragee, Andrea M. Austin, and William Patrick Luan
Low back pain (LBP) is a common, potentially disabling, condition with an estimated point prevalence of 12% and a lifetime prevalence of 40%.1 LBP is a particular concern for the Military Health System (MHS) and a leading cause of medical separation from service for soldiers.2,3 From 2010 to 2014, LBP was associated with over 6 million outpatient visits and 25,000 hospitalizations among active service members4; much more active-duty personnel might be seen informally and triaged back to training without recorded visits within the MHS.
JAMA Neurology
Research Letter
Li J, Skinner JS, McGarry K, Nicholas LH, Wang SP, Bollens-Lund E, Kelley AS.
This case-control study uses Health and Retirement Study data to examine the trajectories of wealth among US older adults at risk of dementia.
Journal of Rural Health
Zeitler EP, Joly J, Leggett CG, Wong SL, O'Malley AJ, Kraft SA, Mackwood MB, Jones ST, Skinner JS
There is now a 20% disparity in all-cause, excess deaths between urban and rural areas, much of which is driven by disparities in cardiovascular death. We sought to explain the sources of these disparities for Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).
Among patients with HFrEF, living in a rural area is associated with an increased risk of death and return ER visits within 30 days of discharge from HF hospitalization. Differences in SDOH appear to partially explain mortality differences but the remaining gap may be the consequence of rural-urban differences in HF treatment.
JAMA Network OPEN
Nancy E. Morden, Weiping Zhou, Ziad Obermeyer, Jonathan Skinner
During the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, inpatient and ambulatory care
declined dramatically. Little is known about prescription drug receipt during this period, particularly
for populations with chronic illness and with high risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes and decreased
access to care.
Social Science & Medicine
A. James O’Malley, Thomas A. Bubolz, Jonathan S. Skinner
Many studies have examined the diffusion of health care innovations but less is known about the diffusion of health care fraud. In this paper, we consider the diffusion of potentially fraudulent Medicare home health care billing in the United States during 2002-16, with a focus on the 21 hospital referral regions (HRRs) covered by local Department of Justice anti-fraud “strike force” offices. We hypothesize that patient-sharing across home health care agencies provides a mechanism for the rapid diffusion of fraudulent strategies; we measure such activity using a novel bipartite mixture (or BMIX) network index. First, we find a remarkable increase in home health care activity between 2002 and 2009 in some but not all regions; average billing per Medicare enrollees in McAllen TX and Miami increased by $2,127 and $2,422 compared to a $289 increase in other HRRs not targeted by the Department of Justice. Second, we establish that the HRR-level BMIX (but not other network measures) was a strong predictor of above-average home care expenditures across HRRs. Third, within HRRs, agencies sharing more patients with other agencies were predicted to increase spending the following year. Finally, the initial 2002 BMIX index was a strong predictor of subsequent changes in HRR-level home health billing during 2002-9. These results highlight the importance of bipartite network structure in diffusion and in infection models more generally.
Journal of Palliative Medicine
Meredith A. MacMartin, Olivia A. Sacks, Andrea M. Austin,Gouri Chakraborti,Elizabeth A. Stedina,Jonathan S. Skinner, Amber E. Barnato
Palliative care units (PCUs) are devoted to intensive management of symptoms and other palliative care needs. We examined the association between opening a PCU and acute care processes at a single U.S. academic medical center.
We retrospectively compared acute care processes for seriously ill patients admitted before and after the opening of a PCU at a single academic medical center. Outcomes included rates of change in code status to do-not-resuscitate (DNR) and comfort measures only (CMO) status, and time to DNR and CMO. We calculated unadjusted and adjusted rates and used logistic regression to assess interaction between care period and palliative care consultation.
The Journal of the Economics of Ageing
Judith Bom, Pieter Bakx, Eddy van Doorslaer, Mette Gørtz, Jonathan Skinner
The share of older adults residing in a nursing home is much higher in the Netherlands and Denmark than in the US, while in the US, perhaps surprisingly, individuals are much more likely to be admitted to a nursing home. We explore reasons for the higher US admission rates and aim to understand to what extent these differences are due to (i) differences in the composition of the population aged 65+ or (ii) differences in LTC system features.
2016 research
JAMA Network Open
Ellesse-Roselee L. Akr., Deanna Chyn, Heather A. Carlos, Amber E. Barnato, Jonathan Skinner
Considerable racial segregation exists in U.S. hospitals which cannot be explained by where patients live. Using 2019 Medicare claims data linked to geographic data, we define a hospital’s market based on ZIP-code based driving time, and estimate the racial composition of all hospitalizations in that market. We then compare the racial composition of the hospital with the racial composition of its market. In our sample of 4.9 million hospital admissions, we find a considerable degree of sorting, with Black Medicare enrollees more likely admitted to some hospitals in their market, and less likely to be admitted to other hospitals nearby. At a regional level, we observed the greatest degree of patient sorting in the New York, Chicago, and Detroit HRRs.
READ MORE
The journal of Rural Health
Emily P. Zeitler, Joanna Joly, Christopher G. Leggett, Sandra L.Wong, A. JamesO’Malley, Sally A. Kraft, Matthew B. Mackwood, Sarah T. Jones,Jonathan S. Skinner
The role of comorbidities, medications, and social determinants of health in understanding urban-rural outcome differences among patients with heart failure.
Military Medicine
Christopher G. Leggett, Rachel O. Schmidt, Jonathan Skinner, Jon D. Lurie, William Patrick Luan
Introduction There is a longstanding debate about whether health care is more efficiently provided by the public or private sector. The debate is particularly relevant to the Military Health System (MHS), which delivers care through a combination of …
Spine Health Services Research
Jon D. Lurie, Christopher G. Leggett, Jonathan Skinner, Eugene Carragee, Andrea M. Austin, and William Patrick Luan
Low back pain (LBP) is a common, potentially disabling, condition with an estimated point prevalence of 12% and a lifetime prevalence of 40%.1 LBP is a particular concern for the Military Health System (MHS) and a leading cause of medical separation from service for soldiers.2,3 From 2010 to 2014, LBP was associated with over 6 million outpatient visits and 25,000 hospitalizations among active service members4; much more active-duty personnel might be seen informally and triaged back to training without recorded visits within the MHS.
JAMA Neurology
Research Letter
Li J, Skinner JS, McGarry K, Nicholas LH, Wang SP, Bollens-Lund E, Kelley AS.
This case-control study uses Health and Retirement Study data to examine the trajectories of wealth among US older adults at risk of dementia.
Journal of Rural Health
Zeitler EP, Joly J, Leggett CG, Wong SL, O'Malley AJ, Kraft SA, Mackwood MB, Jones ST, Skinner JS
There is now a 20% disparity in all-cause, excess deaths between urban and rural areas, much of which is driven by disparities in cardiovascular death. We sought to explain the sources of these disparities for Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).
Among patients with HFrEF, living in a rural area is associated with an increased risk of death and return ER visits within 30 days of discharge from HF hospitalization. Differences in SDOH appear to partially explain mortality differences but the remaining gap may be the consequence of rural-urban differences in HF treatment.
JAMA Network OPEN
Nancy E. Morden, Weiping Zhou, Ziad Obermeyer, Jonathan Skinner
During the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, inpatient and ambulatory care
declined dramatically. Little is known about prescription drug receipt during this period, particularly
for populations with chronic illness and with high risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes and decreased
access to care.
Social Science & Medicine
A. James O’Malley, Thomas A. Bubolz, Jonathan S. Skinner
Many studies have examined the diffusion of health care innovations but less is known about the diffusion of health care fraud. In this paper, we consider the diffusion of potentially fraudulent Medicare home health care billing in the United States during 2002-16, with a focus on the 21 hospital referral regions (HRRs) covered by local Department of Justice anti-fraud “strike force” offices. We hypothesize that patient-sharing across home health care agencies provides a mechanism for the rapid diffusion of fraudulent strategies; we measure such activity using a novel bipartite mixture (or BMIX) network index. First, we find a remarkable increase in home health care activity between 2002 and 2009 in some but not all regions; average billing per Medicare enrollees in McAllen TX and Miami increased by $2,127 and $2,422 compared to a $289 increase in other HRRs not targeted by the Department of Justice. Second, we establish that the HRR-level BMIX (but not other network measures) was a strong predictor of above-average home care expenditures across HRRs. Third, within HRRs, agencies sharing more patients with other agencies were predicted to increase spending the following year. Finally, the initial 2002 BMIX index was a strong predictor of subsequent changes in HRR-level home health billing during 2002-9. These results highlight the importance of bipartite network structure in diffusion and in infection models more generally.
Journal of Palliative Medicine
Meredith A. MacMartin, Olivia A. Sacks, Andrea M. Austin,Gouri Chakraborti,Elizabeth A. Stedina,Jonathan S. Skinner, Amber E. Barnato
Palliative care units (PCUs) are devoted to intensive management of symptoms and other palliative care needs. We examined the association between opening a PCU and acute care processes at a single U.S. academic medical center.
We retrospectively compared acute care processes for seriously ill patients admitted before and after the opening of a PCU at a single academic medical center. Outcomes included rates of change in code status to do-not-resuscitate (DNR) and comfort measures only (CMO) status, and time to DNR and CMO. We calculated unadjusted and adjusted rates and used logistic regression to assess interaction between care period and palliative care consultation.
The Journal of the Economics of Ageing
Judith Bom, Pieter Bakx, Eddy van Doorslaer, Mette Gørtz, Jonathan Skinner
The share of older adults residing in a nursing home is much higher in the Netherlands and Denmark than in the US, while in the US, perhaps surprisingly, individuals are much more likely to be admitted to a nursing home. We explore reasons for the higher US admission rates and aim to understand to what extent these differences are due to (i) differences in the composition of the population aged 65+ or (ii) differences in LTC system features.
2015 research
JAMA Network Open
Ellesse-Roselee L. Akr., Deanna Chyn, Heather A. Carlos, Amber E. Barnato, Jonathan Skinner
Considerable racial segregation exists in U.S. hospitals which cannot be explained by where patients live. Using 2019 Medicare claims data linked to geographic data, we define a hospital’s market based on ZIP-code based driving time, and estimate the racial composition of all hospitalizations in that market. We then compare the racial composition of the hospital with the racial composition of its market. In our sample of 4.9 million hospital admissions, we find a considerable degree of sorting, with Black Medicare enrollees more likely admitted to some hospitals in their market, and less likely to be admitted to other hospitals nearby. At a regional level, we observed the greatest degree of patient sorting in the New York, Chicago, and Detroit HRRs.
READ MORE
The journal of Rural Health
Emily P. Zeitler, Joanna Joly, Christopher G. Leggett, Sandra L.Wong, A. JamesO’Malley, Sally A. Kraft, Matthew B. Mackwood, Sarah T. Jones,Jonathan S. Skinner
The role of comorbidities, medications, and social determinants of health in understanding urban-rural outcome differences among patients with heart failure.
Military Medicine
Christopher G. Leggett, Rachel O. Schmidt, Jonathan Skinner, Jon D. Lurie, William Patrick Luan
Introduction There is a longstanding debate about whether health care is more efficiently provided by the public or private sector. The debate is particularly relevant to the Military Health System (MHS), which delivers care through a combination of …
Spine Health Services Research
Jon D. Lurie, Christopher G. Leggett, Jonathan Skinner, Eugene Carragee, Andrea M. Austin, and William Patrick Luan
Low back pain (LBP) is a common, potentially disabling, condition with an estimated point prevalence of 12% and a lifetime prevalence of 40%.1 LBP is a particular concern for the Military Health System (MHS) and a leading cause of medical separation from service for soldiers.2,3 From 2010 to 2014, LBP was associated with over 6 million outpatient visits and 25,000 hospitalizations among active service members4; much more active-duty personnel might be seen informally and triaged back to training without recorded visits within the MHS.
JAMA Neurology
Research Letter
Li J, Skinner JS, McGarry K, Nicholas LH, Wang SP, Bollens-Lund E, Kelley AS.
This case-control study uses Health and Retirement Study data to examine the trajectories of wealth among US older adults at risk of dementia.
Journal of Rural Health
Zeitler EP, Joly J, Leggett CG, Wong SL, O'Malley AJ, Kraft SA, Mackwood MB, Jones ST, Skinner JS
There is now a 20% disparity in all-cause, excess deaths between urban and rural areas, much of which is driven by disparities in cardiovascular death. We sought to explain the sources of these disparities for Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).
Among patients with HFrEF, living in a rural area is associated with an increased risk of death and return ER visits within 30 days of discharge from HF hospitalization. Differences in SDOH appear to partially explain mortality differences but the remaining gap may be the consequence of rural-urban differences in HF treatment.
JAMA Network OPEN
Nancy E. Morden, Weiping Zhou, Ziad Obermeyer, Jonathan Skinner
During the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, inpatient and ambulatory care
declined dramatically. Little is known about prescription drug receipt during this period, particularly
for populations with chronic illness and with high risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes and decreased
access to care.
Social Science & Medicine
A. James O’Malley, Thomas A. Bubolz, Jonathan S. Skinner
Many studies have examined the diffusion of health care innovations but less is known about the diffusion of health care fraud. In this paper, we consider the diffusion of potentially fraudulent Medicare home health care billing in the United States during 2002-16, with a focus on the 21 hospital referral regions (HRRs) covered by local Department of Justice anti-fraud “strike force” offices. We hypothesize that patient-sharing across home health care agencies provides a mechanism for the rapid diffusion of fraudulent strategies; we measure such activity using a novel bipartite mixture (or BMIX) network index. First, we find a remarkable increase in home health care activity between 2002 and 2009 in some but not all regions; average billing per Medicare enrollees in McAllen TX and Miami increased by $2,127 and $2,422 compared to a $289 increase in other HRRs not targeted by the Department of Justice. Second, we establish that the HRR-level BMIX (but not other network measures) was a strong predictor of above-average home care expenditures across HRRs. Third, within HRRs, agencies sharing more patients with other agencies were predicted to increase spending the following year. Finally, the initial 2002 BMIX index was a strong predictor of subsequent changes in HRR-level home health billing during 2002-9. These results highlight the importance of bipartite network structure in diffusion and in infection models more generally.
Journal of Palliative Medicine
Meredith A. MacMartin, Olivia A. Sacks, Andrea M. Austin,Gouri Chakraborti,Elizabeth A. Stedina,Jonathan S. Skinner, Amber E. Barnato
Palliative care units (PCUs) are devoted to intensive management of symptoms and other palliative care needs. We examined the association between opening a PCU and acute care processes at a single U.S. academic medical center.
We retrospectively compared acute care processes for seriously ill patients admitted before and after the opening of a PCU at a single academic medical center. Outcomes included rates of change in code status to do-not-resuscitate (DNR) and comfort measures only (CMO) status, and time to DNR and CMO. We calculated unadjusted and adjusted rates and used logistic regression to assess interaction between care period and palliative care consultation.
The Journal of the Economics of Ageing
Judith Bom, Pieter Bakx, Eddy van Doorslaer, Mette Gørtz, Jonathan Skinner
The share of older adults residing in a nursing home is much higher in the Netherlands and Denmark than in the US, while in the US, perhaps surprisingly, individuals are much more likely to be admitted to a nursing home. We explore reasons for the higher US admission rates and aim to understand to what extent these differences are due to (i) differences in the composition of the population aged 65+ or (ii) differences in LTC system features.
2014 research
JAMA Network Open
Ellesse-Roselee L. Akr., Deanna Chyn, Heather A. Carlos, Amber E. Barnato, Jonathan Skinner
Considerable racial segregation exists in U.S. hospitals which cannot be explained by where patients live. Using 2019 Medicare claims data linked to geographic data, we define a hospital’s market based on ZIP-code based driving time, and estimate the racial composition of all hospitalizations in that market. We then compare the racial composition of the hospital with the racial composition of its market. In our sample of 4.9 million hospital admissions, we find a considerable degree of sorting, with Black Medicare enrollees more likely admitted to some hospitals in their market, and less likely to be admitted to other hospitals nearby. At a regional level, we observed the greatest degree of patient sorting in the New York, Chicago, and Detroit HRRs.
READ MORE
The journal of Rural Health
Emily P. Zeitler, Joanna Joly, Christopher G. Leggett, Sandra L.Wong, A. JamesO’Malley, Sally A. Kraft, Matthew B. Mackwood, Sarah T. Jones,Jonathan S. Skinner
The role of comorbidities, medications, and social determinants of health in understanding urban-rural outcome differences among patients with heart failure.
Military Medicine
Christopher G. Leggett, Rachel O. Schmidt, Jonathan Skinner, Jon D. Lurie, William Patrick Luan
Introduction There is a longstanding debate about whether health care is more efficiently provided by the public or private sector. The debate is particularly relevant to the Military Health System (MHS), which delivers care through a combination of …
Spine Health Services Research
Jon D. Lurie, Christopher G. Leggett, Jonathan Skinner, Eugene Carragee, Andrea M. Austin, and William Patrick Luan
Low back pain (LBP) is a common, potentially disabling, condition with an estimated point prevalence of 12% and a lifetime prevalence of 40%.1 LBP is a particular concern for the Military Health System (MHS) and a leading cause of medical separation from service for soldiers.2,3 From 2010 to 2014, LBP was associated with over 6 million outpatient visits and 25,000 hospitalizations among active service members4; much more active-duty personnel might be seen informally and triaged back to training without recorded visits within the MHS.
JAMA Neurology
Research Letter
Li J, Skinner JS, McGarry K, Nicholas LH, Wang SP, Bollens-Lund E, Kelley AS.
This case-control study uses Health and Retirement Study data to examine the trajectories of wealth among US older adults at risk of dementia.
Journal of Rural Health
Zeitler EP, Joly J, Leggett CG, Wong SL, O'Malley AJ, Kraft SA, Mackwood MB, Jones ST, Skinner JS
There is now a 20% disparity in all-cause, excess deaths between urban and rural areas, much of which is driven by disparities in cardiovascular death. We sought to explain the sources of these disparities for Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).
Among patients with HFrEF, living in a rural area is associated with an increased risk of death and return ER visits within 30 days of discharge from HF hospitalization. Differences in SDOH appear to partially explain mortality differences but the remaining gap may be the consequence of rural-urban differences in HF treatment.
JAMA Network OPEN
Nancy E. Morden, Weiping Zhou, Ziad Obermeyer, Jonathan Skinner
During the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, inpatient and ambulatory care
declined dramatically. Little is known about prescription drug receipt during this period, particularly
for populations with chronic illness and with high risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes and decreased
access to care.
Social Science & Medicine
A. James O’Malley, Thomas A. Bubolz, Jonathan S. Skinner
Many studies have examined the diffusion of health care innovations but less is known about the diffusion of health care fraud. In this paper, we consider the diffusion of potentially fraudulent Medicare home health care billing in the United States during 2002-16, with a focus on the 21 hospital referral regions (HRRs) covered by local Department of Justice anti-fraud “strike force” offices. We hypothesize that patient-sharing across home health care agencies provides a mechanism for the rapid diffusion of fraudulent strategies; we measure such activity using a novel bipartite mixture (or BMIX) network index. First, we find a remarkable increase in home health care activity between 2002 and 2009 in some but not all regions; average billing per Medicare enrollees in McAllen TX and Miami increased by $2,127 and $2,422 compared to a $289 increase in other HRRs not targeted by the Department of Justice. Second, we establish that the HRR-level BMIX (but not other network measures) was a strong predictor of above-average home care expenditures across HRRs. Third, within HRRs, agencies sharing more patients with other agencies were predicted to increase spending the following year. Finally, the initial 2002 BMIX index was a strong predictor of subsequent changes in HRR-level home health billing during 2002-9. These results highlight the importance of bipartite network structure in diffusion and in infection models more generally.
Journal of Palliative Medicine
Meredith A. MacMartin, Olivia A. Sacks, Andrea M. Austin,Gouri Chakraborti,Elizabeth A. Stedina,Jonathan S. Skinner, Amber E. Barnato
Palliative care units (PCUs) are devoted to intensive management of symptoms and other palliative care needs. We examined the association between opening a PCU and acute care processes at a single U.S. academic medical center.
We retrospectively compared acute care processes for seriously ill patients admitted before and after the opening of a PCU at a single academic medical center. Outcomes included rates of change in code status to do-not-resuscitate (DNR) and comfort measures only (CMO) status, and time to DNR and CMO. We calculated unadjusted and adjusted rates and used logistic regression to assess interaction between care period and palliative care consultation.
The Journal of the Economics of Ageing
Judith Bom, Pieter Bakx, Eddy van Doorslaer, Mette Gørtz, Jonathan Skinner
The share of older adults residing in a nursing home is much higher in the Netherlands and Denmark than in the US, while in the US, perhaps surprisingly, individuals are much more likely to be admitted to a nursing home. We explore reasons for the higher US admission rates and aim to understand to what extent these differences are due to (i) differences in the composition of the population aged 65+ or (ii) differences in LTC system features.
2013 research
JAMA Network Open
Ellesse-Roselee L. Akr., Deanna Chyn, Heather A. Carlos, Amber E. Barnato, Jonathan Skinner
Considerable racial segregation exists in U.S. hospitals which cannot be explained by where patients live. Using 2019 Medicare claims data linked to geographic data, we define a hospital’s market based on ZIP-code based driving time, and estimate the racial composition of all hospitalizations in that market. We then compare the racial composition of the hospital with the racial composition of its market. In our sample of 4.9 million hospital admissions, we find a considerable degree of sorting, with Black Medicare enrollees more likely admitted to some hospitals in their market, and less likely to be admitted to other hospitals nearby. At a regional level, we observed the greatest degree of patient sorting in the New York, Chicago, and Detroit HRRs.
READ MORE
The journal of Rural Health
Emily P. Zeitler, Joanna Joly, Christopher G. Leggett, Sandra L.Wong, A. JamesO’Malley, Sally A. Kraft, Matthew B. Mackwood, Sarah T. Jones,Jonathan S. Skinner
The role of comorbidities, medications, and social determinants of health in understanding urban-rural outcome differences among patients with heart failure.
Military Medicine
Christopher G. Leggett, Rachel O. Schmidt, Jonathan Skinner, Jon D. Lurie, William Patrick Luan
Introduction There is a longstanding debate about whether health care is more efficiently provided by the public or private sector. The debate is particularly relevant to the Military Health System (MHS), which delivers care through a combination of …
Spine Health Services Research
Jon D. Lurie, Christopher G. Leggett, Jonathan Skinner, Eugene Carragee, Andrea M. Austin, and William Patrick Luan
Low back pain (LBP) is a common, potentially disabling, condition with an estimated point prevalence of 12% and a lifetime prevalence of 40%.1 LBP is a particular concern for the Military Health System (MHS) and a leading cause of medical separation from service for soldiers.2,3 From 2010 to 2014, LBP was associated with over 6 million outpatient visits and 25,000 hospitalizations among active service members4; much more active-duty personnel might be seen informally and triaged back to training without recorded visits within the MHS.
JAMA Neurology
Research Letter
Li J, Skinner JS, McGarry K, Nicholas LH, Wang SP, Bollens-Lund E, Kelley AS.
This case-control study uses Health and Retirement Study data to examine the trajectories of wealth among US older adults at risk of dementia.
Journal of Rural Health
Zeitler EP, Joly J, Leggett CG, Wong SL, O'Malley AJ, Kraft SA, Mackwood MB, Jones ST, Skinner JS
There is now a 20% disparity in all-cause, excess deaths between urban and rural areas, much of which is driven by disparities in cardiovascular death. We sought to explain the sources of these disparities for Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).
Among patients with HFrEF, living in a rural area is associated with an increased risk of death and return ER visits within 30 days of discharge from HF hospitalization. Differences in SDOH appear to partially explain mortality differences but the remaining gap may be the consequence of rural-urban differences in HF treatment.
JAMA Network OPEN
Nancy E. Morden, Weiping Zhou, Ziad Obermeyer, Jonathan Skinner
During the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, inpatient and ambulatory care
declined dramatically. Little is known about prescription drug receipt during this period, particularly
for populations with chronic illness and with high risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes and decreased
access to care.
Social Science & Medicine
A. James O’Malley, Thomas A. Bubolz, Jonathan S. Skinner
Many studies have examined the diffusion of health care innovations but less is known about the diffusion of health care fraud. In this paper, we consider the diffusion of potentially fraudulent Medicare home health care billing in the United States during 2002-16, with a focus on the 21 hospital referral regions (HRRs) covered by local Department of Justice anti-fraud “strike force” offices. We hypothesize that patient-sharing across home health care agencies provides a mechanism for the rapid diffusion of fraudulent strategies; we measure such activity using a novel bipartite mixture (or BMIX) network index. First, we find a remarkable increase in home health care activity between 2002 and 2009 in some but not all regions; average billing per Medicare enrollees in McAllen TX and Miami increased by $2,127 and $2,422 compared to a $289 increase in other HRRs not targeted by the Department of Justice. Second, we establish that the HRR-level BMIX (but not other network measures) was a strong predictor of above-average home care expenditures across HRRs. Third, within HRRs, agencies sharing more patients with other agencies were predicted to increase spending the following year. Finally, the initial 2002 BMIX index was a strong predictor of subsequent changes in HRR-level home health billing during 2002-9. These results highlight the importance of bipartite network structure in diffusion and in infection models more generally.
Journal of Palliative Medicine
Meredith A. MacMartin, Olivia A. Sacks, Andrea M. Austin,Gouri Chakraborti,Elizabeth A. Stedina,Jonathan S. Skinner, Amber E. Barnato
Palliative care units (PCUs) are devoted to intensive management of symptoms and other palliative care needs. We examined the association between opening a PCU and acute care processes at a single U.S. academic medical center.
We retrospectively compared acute care processes for seriously ill patients admitted before and after the opening of a PCU at a single academic medical center. Outcomes included rates of change in code status to do-not-resuscitate (DNR) and comfort measures only (CMO) status, and time to DNR and CMO. We calculated unadjusted and adjusted rates and used logistic regression to assess interaction between care period and palliative care consultation.
The Journal of the Economics of Ageing
Judith Bom, Pieter Bakx, Eddy van Doorslaer, Mette Gørtz, Jonathan Skinner
The share of older adults residing in a nursing home is much higher in the Netherlands and Denmark than in the US, while in the US, perhaps surprisingly, individuals are much more likely to be admitted to a nursing home. We explore reasons for the higher US admission rates and aim to understand to what extent these differences are due to (i) differences in the composition of the population aged 65+ or (ii) differences in LTC system features.
2012 research
JAMA Network Open
Ellesse-Roselee L. Akr., Deanna Chyn, Heather A. Carlos, Amber E. Barnato, Jonathan Skinner
Considerable racial segregation exists in U.S. hospitals which cannot be explained by where patients live. Using 2019 Medicare claims data linked to geographic data, we define a hospital’s market based on ZIP-code based driving time, and estimate the racial composition of all hospitalizations in that market. We then compare the racial composition of the hospital with the racial composition of its market. In our sample of 4.9 million hospital admissions, we find a considerable degree of sorting, with Black Medicare enrollees more likely admitted to some hospitals in their market, and less likely to be admitted to other hospitals nearby. At a regional level, we observed the greatest degree of patient sorting in the New York, Chicago, and Detroit HRRs.
READ MORE
The journal of Rural Health
Emily P. Zeitler, Joanna Joly, Christopher G. Leggett, Sandra L.Wong, A. JamesO’Malley, Sally A. Kraft, Matthew B. Mackwood, Sarah T. Jones,Jonathan S. Skinner
The role of comorbidities, medications, and social determinants of health in understanding urban-rural outcome differences among patients with heart failure.
Military Medicine
Christopher G. Leggett, Rachel O. Schmidt, Jonathan Skinner, Jon D. Lurie, William Patrick Luan
Introduction There is a longstanding debate about whether health care is more efficiently provided by the public or private sector. The debate is particularly relevant to the Military Health System (MHS), which delivers care through a combination of …
Spine Health Services Research
Jon D. Lurie, Christopher G. Leggett, Jonathan Skinner, Eugene Carragee, Andrea M. Austin, and William Patrick Luan
Low back pain (LBP) is a common, potentially disabling, condition with an estimated point prevalence of 12% and a lifetime prevalence of 40%.1 LBP is a particular concern for the Military Health System (MHS) and a leading cause of medical separation from service for soldiers.2,3 From 2010 to 2014, LBP was associated with over 6 million outpatient visits and 25,000 hospitalizations among active service members4; much more active-duty personnel might be seen informally and triaged back to training without recorded visits within the MHS.
JAMA Neurology
Research Letter
Li J, Skinner JS, McGarry K, Nicholas LH, Wang SP, Bollens-Lund E, Kelley AS.
This case-control study uses Health and Retirement Study data to examine the trajectories of wealth among US older adults at risk of dementia.
Journal of Rural Health
Zeitler EP, Joly J, Leggett CG, Wong SL, O'Malley AJ, Kraft SA, Mackwood MB, Jones ST, Skinner JS
There is now a 20% disparity in all-cause, excess deaths between urban and rural areas, much of which is driven by disparities in cardiovascular death. We sought to explain the sources of these disparities for Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).
Among patients with HFrEF, living in a rural area is associated with an increased risk of death and return ER visits within 30 days of discharge from HF hospitalization. Differences in SDOH appear to partially explain mortality differences but the remaining gap may be the consequence of rural-urban differences in HF treatment.
JAMA Network OPEN
Nancy E. Morden, Weiping Zhou, Ziad Obermeyer, Jonathan Skinner
During the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, inpatient and ambulatory care
declined dramatically. Little is known about prescription drug receipt during this period, particularly
for populations with chronic illness and with high risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes and decreased
access to care.
Social Science & Medicine
A. James O’Malley, Thomas A. Bubolz, Jonathan S. Skinner
Many studies have examined the diffusion of health care innovations but less is known about the diffusion of health care fraud. In this paper, we consider the diffusion of potentially fraudulent Medicare home health care billing in the United States during 2002-16, with a focus on the 21 hospital referral regions (HRRs) covered by local Department of Justice anti-fraud “strike force” offices. We hypothesize that patient-sharing across home health care agencies provides a mechanism for the rapid diffusion of fraudulent strategies; we measure such activity using a novel bipartite mixture (or BMIX) network index. First, we find a remarkable increase in home health care activity between 2002 and 2009 in some but not all regions; average billing per Medicare enrollees in McAllen TX and Miami increased by $2,127 and $2,422 compared to a $289 increase in other HRRs not targeted by the Department of Justice. Second, we establish that the HRR-level BMIX (but not other network measures) was a strong predictor of above-average home care expenditures across HRRs. Third, within HRRs, agencies sharing more patients with other agencies were predicted to increase spending the following year. Finally, the initial 2002 BMIX index was a strong predictor of subsequent changes in HRR-level home health billing during 2002-9. These results highlight the importance of bipartite network structure in diffusion and in infection models more generally.
Journal of Palliative Medicine
Meredith A. MacMartin, Olivia A. Sacks, Andrea M. Austin,Gouri Chakraborti,Elizabeth A. Stedina,Jonathan S. Skinner, Amber E. Barnato
Palliative care units (PCUs) are devoted to intensive management of symptoms and other palliative care needs. We examined the association between opening a PCU and acute care processes at a single U.S. academic medical center.
We retrospectively compared acute care processes for seriously ill patients admitted before and after the opening of a PCU at a single academic medical center. Outcomes included rates of change in code status to do-not-resuscitate (DNR) and comfort measures only (CMO) status, and time to DNR and CMO. We calculated unadjusted and adjusted rates and used logistic regression to assess interaction between care period and palliative care consultation.
The Journal of the Economics of Ageing
Judith Bom, Pieter Bakx, Eddy van Doorslaer, Mette Gørtz, Jonathan Skinner
The share of older adults residing in a nursing home is much higher in the Netherlands and Denmark than in the US, while in the US, perhaps surprisingly, individuals are much more likely to be admitted to a nursing home. We explore reasons for the higher US admission rates and aim to understand to what extent these differences are due to (i) differences in the composition of the population aged 65+ or (ii) differences in LTC system features.
2011 research
JAMA Network Open
Ellesse-Roselee L. Akr., Deanna Chyn, Heather A. Carlos, Amber E. Barnato, Jonathan Skinner
Considerable racial segregation exists in U.S. hospitals which cannot be explained by where patients live. Using 2019 Medicare claims data linked to geographic data, we define a hospital’s market based on ZIP-code based driving time, and estimate the racial composition of all hospitalizations in that market. We then compare the racial composition of the hospital with the racial composition of its market. In our sample of 4.9 million hospital admissions, we find a considerable degree of sorting, with Black Medicare enrollees more likely admitted to some hospitals in their market, and less likely to be admitted to other hospitals nearby. At a regional level, we observed the greatest degree of patient sorting in the New York, Chicago, and Detroit HRRs.
READ MORE
The journal of Rural Health
Emily P. Zeitler, Joanna Joly, Christopher G. Leggett, Sandra L.Wong, A. JamesO’Malley, Sally A. Kraft, Matthew B. Mackwood, Sarah T. Jones,Jonathan S. Skinner
The role of comorbidities, medications, and social determinants of health in understanding urban-rural outcome differences among patients with heart failure.
Military Medicine
Christopher G. Leggett, Rachel O. Schmidt, Jonathan Skinner, Jon D. Lurie, William Patrick Luan
Introduction There is a longstanding debate about whether health care is more efficiently provided by the public or private sector. The debate is particularly relevant to the Military Health System (MHS), which delivers care through a combination of …
Spine Health Services Research
Jon D. Lurie, Christopher G. Leggett, Jonathan Skinner, Eugene Carragee, Andrea M. Austin, and William Patrick Luan
Low back pain (LBP) is a common, potentially disabling, condition with an estimated point prevalence of 12% and a lifetime prevalence of 40%.1 LBP is a particular concern for the Military Health System (MHS) and a leading cause of medical separation from service for soldiers.2,3 From 2010 to 2014, LBP was associated with over 6 million outpatient visits and 25,000 hospitalizations among active service members4; much more active-duty personnel might be seen informally and triaged back to training without recorded visits within the MHS.
JAMA Neurology
Research Letter
Li J, Skinner JS, McGarry K, Nicholas LH, Wang SP, Bollens-Lund E, Kelley AS.
This case-control study uses Health and Retirement Study data to examine the trajectories of wealth among US older adults at risk of dementia.
Journal of Rural Health
Zeitler EP, Joly J, Leggett CG, Wong SL, O'Malley AJ, Kraft SA, Mackwood MB, Jones ST, Skinner JS
There is now a 20% disparity in all-cause, excess deaths between urban and rural areas, much of which is driven by disparities in cardiovascular death. We sought to explain the sources of these disparities for Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).
Among patients with HFrEF, living in a rural area is associated with an increased risk of death and return ER visits within 30 days of discharge from HF hospitalization. Differences in SDOH appear to partially explain mortality differences but the remaining gap may be the consequence of rural-urban differences in HF treatment.
JAMA Network OPEN
Nancy E. Morden, Weiping Zhou, Ziad Obermeyer, Jonathan Skinner
During the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, inpatient and ambulatory care
declined dramatically. Little is known about prescription drug receipt during this period, particularly
for populations with chronic illness and with high risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes and decreased
access to care.
Social Science & Medicine
A. James O’Malley, Thomas A. Bubolz, Jonathan S. Skinner
Many studies have examined the diffusion of health care innovations but less is known about the diffusion of health care fraud. In this paper, we consider the diffusion of potentially fraudulent Medicare home health care billing in the United States during 2002-16, with a focus on the 21 hospital referral regions (HRRs) covered by local Department of Justice anti-fraud “strike force” offices. We hypothesize that patient-sharing across home health care agencies provides a mechanism for the rapid diffusion of fraudulent strategies; we measure such activity using a novel bipartite mixture (or BMIX) network index. First, we find a remarkable increase in home health care activity between 2002 and 2009 in some but not all regions; average billing per Medicare enrollees in McAllen TX and Miami increased by $2,127 and $2,422 compared to a $289 increase in other HRRs not targeted by the Department of Justice. Second, we establish that the HRR-level BMIX (but not other network measures) was a strong predictor of above-average home care expenditures across HRRs. Third, within HRRs, agencies sharing more patients with other agencies were predicted to increase spending the following year. Finally, the initial 2002 BMIX index was a strong predictor of subsequent changes in HRR-level home health billing during 2002-9. These results highlight the importance of bipartite network structure in diffusion and in infection models more generally.
Journal of Palliative Medicine
Meredith A. MacMartin, Olivia A. Sacks, Andrea M. Austin,Gouri Chakraborti,Elizabeth A. Stedina,Jonathan S. Skinner, Amber E. Barnato
Palliative care units (PCUs) are devoted to intensive management of symptoms and other palliative care needs. We examined the association between opening a PCU and acute care processes at a single U.S. academic medical center.
We retrospectively compared acute care processes for seriously ill patients admitted before and after the opening of a PCU at a single academic medical center. Outcomes included rates of change in code status to do-not-resuscitate (DNR) and comfort measures only (CMO) status, and time to DNR and CMO. We calculated unadjusted and adjusted rates and used logistic regression to assess interaction between care period and palliative care consultation.
The Journal of the Economics of Ageing
Judith Bom, Pieter Bakx, Eddy van Doorslaer, Mette Gørtz, Jonathan Skinner
The share of older adults residing in a nursing home is much higher in the Netherlands and Denmark than in the US, while in the US, perhaps surprisingly, individuals are much more likely to be admitted to a nursing home. We explore reasons for the higher US admission rates and aim to understand to what extent these differences are due to (i) differences in the composition of the population aged 65+ or (ii) differences in LTC system features.
2010 research
JAMA Network Open
Ellesse-Roselee L. Akr., Deanna Chyn, Heather A. Carlos, Amber E. Barnato, Jonathan Skinner
Considerable racial segregation exists in U.S. hospitals which cannot be explained by where patients live. Using 2019 Medicare claims data linked to geographic data, we define a hospital’s market based on ZIP-code based driving time, and estimate the racial composition of all hospitalizations in that market. We then compare the racial composition of the hospital with the racial composition of its market. In our sample of 4.9 million hospital admissions, we find a considerable degree of sorting, with Black Medicare enrollees more likely admitted to some hospitals in their market, and less likely to be admitted to other hospitals nearby. At a regional level, we observed the greatest degree of patient sorting in the New York, Chicago, and Detroit HRRs.
READ MORE
The journal of Rural Health
Emily P. Zeitler, Joanna Joly, Christopher G. Leggett, Sandra L.Wong, A. JamesO’Malley, Sally A. Kraft, Matthew B. Mackwood, Sarah T. Jones,Jonathan S. Skinner
The role of comorbidities, medications, and social determinants of health in understanding urban-rural outcome differences among patients with heart failure.
Military Medicine
Christopher G. Leggett, Rachel O. Schmidt, Jonathan Skinner, Jon D. Lurie, William Patrick Luan
Introduction There is a longstanding debate about whether health care is more efficiently provided by the public or private sector. The debate is particularly relevant to the Military Health System (MHS), which delivers care through a combination of …
Spine Health Services Research
Jon D. Lurie, Christopher G. Leggett, Jonathan Skinner, Eugene Carragee, Andrea M. Austin, and William Patrick Luan
Low back pain (LBP) is a common, potentially disabling, condition with an estimated point prevalence of 12% and a lifetime prevalence of 40%.1 LBP is a particular concern for the Military Health System (MHS) and a leading cause of medical separation from service for soldiers.2,3 From 2010 to 2014, LBP was associated with over 6 million outpatient visits and 25,000 hospitalizations among active service members4; much more active-duty personnel might be seen informally and triaged back to training without recorded visits within the MHS.
JAMA Neurology
Research Letter
Li J, Skinner JS, McGarry K, Nicholas LH, Wang SP, Bollens-Lund E, Kelley AS.
This case-control study uses Health and Retirement Study data to examine the trajectories of wealth among US older adults at risk of dementia.
Journal of Rural Health
Zeitler EP, Joly J, Leggett CG, Wong SL, O'Malley AJ, Kraft SA, Mackwood MB, Jones ST, Skinner JS
There is now a 20% disparity in all-cause, excess deaths between urban and rural areas, much of which is driven by disparities in cardiovascular death. We sought to explain the sources of these disparities for Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).
Among patients with HFrEF, living in a rural area is associated with an increased risk of death and return ER visits within 30 days of discharge from HF hospitalization. Differences in SDOH appear to partially explain mortality differences but the remaining gap may be the consequence of rural-urban differences in HF treatment.
JAMA Network OPEN
Nancy E. Morden, Weiping Zhou, Ziad Obermeyer, Jonathan Skinner
During the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, inpatient and ambulatory care
declined dramatically. Little is known about prescription drug receipt during this period, particularly
for populations with chronic illness and with high risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes and decreased
access to care.
Social Science & Medicine
A. James O’Malley, Thomas A. Bubolz, Jonathan S. Skinner
Many studies have examined the diffusion of health care innovations but less is known about the diffusion of health care fraud. In this paper, we consider the diffusion of potentially fraudulent Medicare home health care billing in the United States during 2002-16, with a focus on the 21 hospital referral regions (HRRs) covered by local Department of Justice anti-fraud “strike force” offices. We hypothesize that patient-sharing across home health care agencies provides a mechanism for the rapid diffusion of fraudulent strategies; we measure such activity using a novel bipartite mixture (or BMIX) network index. First, we find a remarkable increase in home health care activity between 2002 and 2009 in some but not all regions; average billing per Medicare enrollees in McAllen TX and Miami increased by $2,127 and $2,422 compared to a $289 increase in other HRRs not targeted by the Department of Justice. Second, we establish that the HRR-level BMIX (but not other network measures) was a strong predictor of above-average home care expenditures across HRRs. Third, within HRRs, agencies sharing more patients with other agencies were predicted to increase spending the following year. Finally, the initial 2002 BMIX index was a strong predictor of subsequent changes in HRR-level home health billing during 2002-9. These results highlight the importance of bipartite network structure in diffusion and in infection models more generally.
Journal of Palliative Medicine
Meredith A. MacMartin, Olivia A. Sacks, Andrea M. Austin,Gouri Chakraborti,Elizabeth A. Stedina,Jonathan S. Skinner, Amber E. Barnato
Palliative care units (PCUs) are devoted to intensive management of symptoms and other palliative care needs. We examined the association between opening a PCU and acute care processes at a single U.S. academic medical center.
We retrospectively compared acute care processes for seriously ill patients admitted before and after the opening of a PCU at a single academic medical center. Outcomes included rates of change in code status to do-not-resuscitate (DNR) and comfort measures only (CMO) status, and time to DNR and CMO. We calculated unadjusted and adjusted rates and used logistic regression to assess interaction between care period and palliative care consultation.
The Journal of the Economics of Ageing
Judith Bom, Pieter Bakx, Eddy van Doorslaer, Mette Gørtz, Jonathan Skinner
The share of older adults residing in a nursing home is much higher in the Netherlands and Denmark than in the US, while in the US, perhaps surprisingly, individuals are much more likely to be admitted to a nursing home. We explore reasons for the higher US admission rates and aim to understand to what extent these differences are due to (i) differences in the composition of the population aged 65+ or (ii) differences in LTC system features.
2009 research
JAMA Network Open
Ellesse-Roselee L. Akr., Deanna Chyn, Heather A. Carlos, Amber E. Barnato, Jonathan Skinner
Considerable racial segregation exists in U.S. hospitals which cannot be explained by where patients live. Using 2019 Medicare claims data linked to geographic data, we define a hospital’s market based on ZIP-code based driving time, and estimate the racial composition of all hospitalizations in that market. We then compare the racial composition of the hospital with the racial composition of its market. In our sample of 4.9 million hospital admissions, we find a considerable degree of sorting, with Black Medicare enrollees more likely admitted to some hospitals in their market, and less likely to be admitted to other hospitals nearby. At a regional level, we observed the greatest degree of patient sorting in the New York, Chicago, and Detroit HRRs.
READ MORE
The journal of Rural Health
Emily P. Zeitler, Joanna Joly, Christopher G. Leggett, Sandra L.Wong, A. JamesO’Malley, Sally A. Kraft, Matthew B. Mackwood, Sarah T. Jones,Jonathan S. Skinner
The role of comorbidities, medications, and social determinants of health in understanding urban-rural outcome differences among patients with heart failure.
Military Medicine
Christopher G. Leggett, Rachel O. Schmidt, Jonathan Skinner, Jon D. Lurie, William Patrick Luan
Introduction There is a longstanding debate about whether health care is more efficiently provided by the public or private sector. The debate is particularly relevant to the Military Health System (MHS), which delivers care through a combination of …
Spine Health Services Research
Jon D. Lurie, Christopher G. Leggett, Jonathan Skinner, Eugene Carragee, Andrea M. Austin, and William Patrick Luan
Low back pain (LBP) is a common, potentially disabling, condition with an estimated point prevalence of 12% and a lifetime prevalence of 40%.1 LBP is a particular concern for the Military Health System (MHS) and a leading cause of medical separation from service for soldiers.2,3 From 2010 to 2014, LBP was associated with over 6 million outpatient visits and 25,000 hospitalizations among active service members4; much more active-duty personnel might be seen informally and triaged back to training without recorded visits within the MHS.
JAMA Neurology
Research Letter
Li J, Skinner JS, McGarry K, Nicholas LH, Wang SP, Bollens-Lund E, Kelley AS.
This case-control study uses Health and Retirement Study data to examine the trajectories of wealth among US older adults at risk of dementia.
Journal of Rural Health
Zeitler EP, Joly J, Leggett CG, Wong SL, O'Malley AJ, Kraft SA, Mackwood MB, Jones ST, Skinner JS
There is now a 20% disparity in all-cause, excess deaths between urban and rural areas, much of which is driven by disparities in cardiovascular death. We sought to explain the sources of these disparities for Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).
Among patients with HFrEF, living in a rural area is associated with an increased risk of death and return ER visits within 30 days of discharge from HF hospitalization. Differences in SDOH appear to partially explain mortality differences but the remaining gap may be the consequence of rural-urban differences in HF treatment.
JAMA Network OPEN
Nancy E. Morden, Weiping Zhou, Ziad Obermeyer, Jonathan Skinner
During the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, inpatient and ambulatory care
declined dramatically. Little is known about prescription drug receipt during this period, particularly
for populations with chronic illness and with high risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes and decreased
access to care.
Social Science & Medicine
A. James O’Malley, Thomas A. Bubolz, Jonathan S. Skinner
Many studies have examined the diffusion of health care innovations but less is known about the diffusion of health care fraud. In this paper, we consider the diffusion of potentially fraudulent Medicare home health care billing in the United States during 2002-16, with a focus on the 21 hospital referral regions (HRRs) covered by local Department of Justice anti-fraud “strike force” offices. We hypothesize that patient-sharing across home health care agencies provides a mechanism for the rapid diffusion of fraudulent strategies; we measure such activity using a novel bipartite mixture (or BMIX) network index. First, we find a remarkable increase in home health care activity between 2002 and 2009 in some but not all regions; average billing per Medicare enrollees in McAllen TX and Miami increased by $2,127 and $2,422 compared to a $289 increase in other HRRs not targeted by the Department of Justice. Second, we establish that the HRR-level BMIX (but not other network measures) was a strong predictor of above-average home care expenditures across HRRs. Third, within HRRs, agencies sharing more patients with other agencies were predicted to increase spending the following year. Finally, the initial 2002 BMIX index was a strong predictor of subsequent changes in HRR-level home health billing during 2002-9. These results highlight the importance of bipartite network structure in diffusion and in infection models more generally.
Journal of Palliative Medicine
Meredith A. MacMartin, Olivia A. Sacks, Andrea M. Austin,Gouri Chakraborti,Elizabeth A. Stedina,Jonathan S. Skinner, Amber E. Barnato
Palliative care units (PCUs) are devoted to intensive management of symptoms and other palliative care needs. We examined the association between opening a PCU and acute care processes at a single U.S. academic medical center.
We retrospectively compared acute care processes for seriously ill patients admitted before and after the opening of a PCU at a single academic medical center. Outcomes included rates of change in code status to do-not-resuscitate (DNR) and comfort measures only (CMO) status, and time to DNR and CMO. We calculated unadjusted and adjusted rates and used logistic regression to assess interaction between care period and palliative care consultation.
The Journal of the Economics of Ageing
Judith Bom, Pieter Bakx, Eddy van Doorslaer, Mette Gørtz, Jonathan Skinner
The share of older adults residing in a nursing home is much higher in the Netherlands and Denmark than in the US, while in the US, perhaps surprisingly, individuals are much more likely to be admitted to a nursing home. We explore reasons for the higher US admission rates and aim to understand to what extent these differences are due to (i) differences in the composition of the population aged 65+ or (ii) differences in LTC system features.
2008 research
JAMA Network Open
Ellesse-Roselee L. Akr., Deanna Chyn, Heather A. Carlos, Amber E. Barnato, Jonathan Skinner
Considerable racial segregation exists in U.S. hospitals which cannot be explained by where patients live. Using 2019 Medicare claims data linked to geographic data, we define a hospital’s market based on ZIP-code based driving time, and estimate the racial composition of all hospitalizations in that market. We then compare the racial composition of the hospital with the racial composition of its market. In our sample of 4.9 million hospital admissions, we find a considerable degree of sorting, with Black Medicare enrollees more likely admitted to some hospitals in their market, and less likely to be admitted to other hospitals nearby. At a regional level, we observed the greatest degree of patient sorting in the New York, Chicago, and Detroit HRRs.
READ MORE
The journal of Rural Health
Emily P. Zeitler, Joanna Joly, Christopher G. Leggett, Sandra L.Wong, A. JamesO’Malley, Sally A. Kraft, Matthew B. Mackwood, Sarah T. Jones,Jonathan S. Skinner
The role of comorbidities, medications, and social determinants of health in understanding urban-rural outcome differences among patients with heart failure.
Military Medicine
Christopher G. Leggett, Rachel O. Schmidt, Jonathan Skinner, Jon D. Lurie, William Patrick Luan
Introduction There is a longstanding debate about whether health care is more efficiently provided by the public or private sector. The debate is particularly relevant to the Military Health System (MHS), which delivers care through a combination of …
Spine Health Services Research
Jon D. Lurie, Christopher G. Leggett, Jonathan Skinner, Eugene Carragee, Andrea M. Austin, and William Patrick Luan
Low back pain (LBP) is a common, potentially disabling, condition with an estimated point prevalence of 12% and a lifetime prevalence of 40%.1 LBP is a particular concern for the Military Health System (MHS) and a leading cause of medical separation from service for soldiers.2,3 From 2010 to 2014, LBP was associated with over 6 million outpatient visits and 25,000 hospitalizations among active service members4; much more active-duty personnel might be seen informally and triaged back to training without recorded visits within the MHS.
JAMA Neurology
Research Letter
Li J, Skinner JS, McGarry K, Nicholas LH, Wang SP, Bollens-Lund E, Kelley AS.
This case-control study uses Health and Retirement Study data to examine the trajectories of wealth among US older adults at risk of dementia.
Journal of Rural Health
Zeitler EP, Joly J, Leggett CG, Wong SL, O'Malley AJ, Kraft SA, Mackwood MB, Jones ST, Skinner JS
There is now a 20% disparity in all-cause, excess deaths between urban and rural areas, much of which is driven by disparities in cardiovascular death. We sought to explain the sources of these disparities for Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).
Among patients with HFrEF, living in a rural area is associated with an increased risk of death and return ER visits within 30 days of discharge from HF hospitalization. Differences in SDOH appear to partially explain mortality differences but the remaining gap may be the consequence of rural-urban differences in HF treatment.
JAMA Network OPEN
Nancy E. Morden, Weiping Zhou, Ziad Obermeyer, Jonathan Skinner
During the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, inpatient and ambulatory care
declined dramatically. Little is known about prescription drug receipt during this period, particularly
for populations with chronic illness and with high risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes and decreased
access to care.
Social Science & Medicine
A. James O’Malley, Thomas A. Bubolz, Jonathan S. Skinner
Many studies have examined the diffusion of health care innovations but less is known about the diffusion of health care fraud. In this paper, we consider the diffusion of potentially fraudulent Medicare home health care billing in the United States during 2002-16, with a focus on the 21 hospital referral regions (HRRs) covered by local Department of Justice anti-fraud “strike force” offices. We hypothesize that patient-sharing across home health care agencies provides a mechanism for the rapid diffusion of fraudulent strategies; we measure such activity using a novel bipartite mixture (or BMIX) network index. First, we find a remarkable increase in home health care activity between 2002 and 2009 in some but not all regions; average billing per Medicare enrollees in McAllen TX and Miami increased by $2,127 and $2,422 compared to a $289 increase in other HRRs not targeted by the Department of Justice. Second, we establish that the HRR-level BMIX (but not other network measures) was a strong predictor of above-average home care expenditures across HRRs. Third, within HRRs, agencies sharing more patients with other agencies were predicted to increase spending the following year. Finally, the initial 2002 BMIX index was a strong predictor of subsequent changes in HRR-level home health billing during 2002-9. These results highlight the importance of bipartite network structure in diffusion and in infection models more generally.
Journal of Palliative Medicine
Meredith A. MacMartin, Olivia A. Sacks, Andrea M. Austin,Gouri Chakraborti,Elizabeth A. Stedina,Jonathan S. Skinner, Amber E. Barnato
Palliative care units (PCUs) are devoted to intensive management of symptoms and other palliative care needs. We examined the association between opening a PCU and acute care processes at a single U.S. academic medical center.
We retrospectively compared acute care processes for seriously ill patients admitted before and after the opening of a PCU at a single academic medical center. Outcomes included rates of change in code status to do-not-resuscitate (DNR) and comfort measures only (CMO) status, and time to DNR and CMO. We calculated unadjusted and adjusted rates and used logistic regression to assess interaction between care period and palliative care consultation.
The Journal of the Economics of Ageing
Judith Bom, Pieter Bakx, Eddy van Doorslaer, Mette Gørtz, Jonathan Skinner
The share of older adults residing in a nursing home is much higher in the Netherlands and Denmark than in the US, while in the US, perhaps surprisingly, individuals are much more likely to be admitted to a nursing home. We explore reasons for the higher US admission rates and aim to understand to what extent these differences are due to (i) differences in the composition of the population aged 65+ or (ii) differences in LTC system features.
JAMA Health Forum
James N. Weinstein, William B. Weeks, Jonathan S. Skinner
In 1907, a financial collapse led to a major US national recession, a 17%decline in industrial output,1 and creation of the Federal Reserve system in 1913 to “provide a means by which periodic panics which shake the American Republic and do it enormous injury shall be stopped.”2 The current COVID-19 pandemic shares many of the same causes as the Panic of 1907: lack of a coordinated federal response, lax state-level regulations, and absence of clear strategies to respond and recover from the initial outbreak. Therefore, we propose a new entity paralleling the Federal Reserve —the Federal Health Authority (FHA)—to anticipate health shocks, coordinate future responses, and address longer-term problems in the nation’s health and health care. Just as the Federal Reserve is tasked with sustainably maximizing the nation’s financial health, the FHAwould be tasked with doing the same for the nation’s health.
Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M. Austin, Barbara Gladders, Parag Goyal, A. James O’Malley, Amber Barnato, Anna N.A, Tosteson, Jonathan S. Skinner
Neurohormonal therapy, which includes beta-blockers and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEi/ARBs), is the cornerstone of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) treatment. While neurohormonal therapies have demonstrated efficacy in randomized clinical trials, older patients, which now comprise the majority of HFrEF patients, were underrepresented in those original trials. This study aimed to determine the association between short- (30 day) and long-term (1 year) mortality and the use of neurohormonal therapy in HFrEF patients, across the age spectrum.
Journal of Economic Perspectives
Benjamin K. Couillard, Christopher L. Foote, Kavish Gandhi, Ellen Meara, and Jonathan Skinner
The 21st century has been a period of rising inequality in both income and health. In this paper, we find that geographic inequality in mortality for midlife Americans increased by about 70 percent between 1992 and 2016. This was not solely because of the increasing importance of “deaths of despair,” or by rising spatial income inequality during the same period. Instead, we find evidence that high-income states in 1992 were better able to enact public health strategies and adopt behaviors that, over the next quarter-century, resulted in pronounced relative declines in mortality. The substantial longevity gains in high-income states led to greater cross-state inequality in mortality.
Health Affairs (Millwood)
John D. Birkmeyer, Amber Barnato, Nancy Birkmeyer, Robert Kessler, Jonathan Skinner
Hospital admissions in the US fell dramatically with the onset of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. However, little is known about differences in admissions patterns among patient groups or the extent of the rebound. In this study of approximately one million medical admissions from a large, nationally representative hospitalist group, we found that declines in non-COVID-19 admissions from February to April 2020 were generally similar across patient demographic subgroups and exceeded 20 percent for all primary admission diagnoses. By late June/early July 2020, overall non-COVID-19 admissions had rebounded to 16 percent below prepandemic baseline volume (8 percent including COVID-19 admissions). Non-COVID-19 admissions were substantially lower for patients residing in majority-Hispanic neighborhoods (32 percent below baseline) and remained well below baseline for patients with pneumonia (−44 percent), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/asthma (−40 percent), sepsis (−25 percent), urinary tract infection (−24 percent), and acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (−22 percent). Health system leaders and public health authorities should focus on efforts to ensure that patients with acute medical illnesses can obtain hospital care as needed during the pandemic to avoid adverse outcomes.
American Geriatric Society
Amber E. Barnato, John D. Birkmeyer, Jonathan S. Skinner, A. James O’Malley, Nancy J. O. Birkmeyer
Background: We sought to determine whether dementia is associated with treatment intensity and
mortality in patients hospitalized with COVID-19.
Methods: Review of the medical records for patients > 60 years of age (n=5,394) hospitalized with
COVID-19 from 132 community hospitals between March and June, 2020. We examined the
relationships between dementia and treatment intensity (including intensive care unit admission (ICU)
and mechanical ventilation (MV) and care processes that may influence them, including advance care
planning (ACP) billing and do-not-resuscitate (DNR) orders) and in-hospital mortality adjusting for age,
sex, race/ethnicity, comorbidity, month of hospitalization, and clustering within hospital. We further
explored the effect of ACP conversations on the relationship between dementia and outcomes, both at
the individual patient level (effect of having ACP) and at the hospital level (effect of being treated at a
hospital with low: <10%, medium 10-20%, or high >20% ACP rates)…
JAMA Internal Medicine
Ezekiel J. Emanuel, Emily Gudbranson, Jessica Van Parys, et al
Question Are the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties better than the health outcomes of average residents in other developed countries?
Findings In this comparative effectiveness study of 6 health outcomes, White US citizens in the 1% and 5% highest-income counties obtained better health outcomes than average US citizens but had worse outcomes for infant and maternal mortality, colon cancer, childhood acute lymphocytic leukemia, and acute myocardial infarction compared with average citizens of other developed countries.
Meaning For 6 health outcomes, the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties are better than those of average US citizens but are not consistently better than those of average residents in many other developed countries, suggesting that in the US, even if everyone achieved the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties, health indicators would still lag behind those in many other countries.
Abstract
Importance The average health outcomes in the US are not as good as the average health outcomes in other developed countries. However, whether high-income US citizens have better health outcomes than average individuals in other developed countries is unknown….
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Olivia A Sacks, Amber E Barnato, Jonathan S Skinner, John D Birkmeyer, Annie Fowler, Nancy Birkmeyer
There have been numerous reports of SARS-CoV-2 infection among health care workers (HCWs) across the globe. However, data is lacking on risk of hospital vs. community COVID-19 exposure faced by US providers. We report COVID-19 infection rates for physicians (MDs) and advance practice providers (APPs) in hospital medicine and critical care at a national acute care medical practice between March and December 2020.
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M Austin, A James O’Malley, Barbara Gladders, Amber E Barnato, Anna Tosteson, Jonathan Skinner
Background
The demographics of heart failure are changing. The rate of growth of the “older” heart failure population, specifically those≥ 75, has outpaced that of any other age group. These older patients were underrepresented in the early beta-blocker trials. There are several reasons, including a decreased potential for mortality benefit and increased risk of side effects, why the risk/benefit tradeoff may be different in this population.
Objective
We aimed to determine the association between receipt of a beta-blocker after heart failure discharge and early mortality and readmission rates among patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), specifically patients aged 75+.
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M Austin, Barbara Gladders, Parag Goyal, A James O'Malley, Amber Barnato, Anna NA Tosteson, Jonathan S Skinner
Background/Objectives
Neurohormonal therapy, which includes beta‐blockers and angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEi/ARBs), is the cornerstone of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) treatment. While neurohormonal therapies have demonstrated efficacy in randomized clinical trials, older patients, which now comprise the majority of HFrEF patients, were underrepresented in those original trials. This study aimed to determine the association between short‐ (30 day) and long‐term (1 year) mortality and the use of neurohormonal therapy in HFrEF patients, across the age spectrum.
Design/Setting/Participants
This is a population‐based, retrospective, cohort study between January 2008 and December 2015. We used 100% Medicare Parts A and B and a random 40% sample of Part D to create a cohort of 295,494 fee‐for‐service beneficiaries with at least …
Journal of the American Heart Association
Michael N Young, Stephen Kearing, David Malenka, Philip P Goodney, Jonathan Skinner, Alexander Iribarne
Background
Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has transformed the management of aortic valve stenosis. However, little national data are available characterizing the geographic and demographic dispersion of this disruptive technology relative to surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR).
Methods and Results
In this US claims‐based study, we analyzed a 100% sample of fee‐for‐service Medicare beneficiaries from 2012 to 2017 and examined national rates of TAVR versus SAVR. Procedure rates were compared across years as a function of age, sex, race, and geography for TAVR and SAVR beneficiaries. There was significant growth in TAVR from 15.4 beneficiaries/100 000 enrollees in 2012 to 90.6 in 2017 (P<0.001). SAVR rates declined from 92.8 beneficiaries/100 000 enrollees in 2012 to 63.5 in 2017 (P<0.001). The growth of TAVR varied as a function of age (P<0.0001). While TAVR was the …
JAMA Network Open
Ellesse-Roselee L. Akr., Deanna Chyn, Heather A. Carlos, Amber E. Barnato, Jonathan Skinner
Considerable racial segregation exists in U.S. hospitals which cannot be explained by where patients live. Using 2019 Medicare claims data linked to geographic data, we define a hospital’s market based on ZIP-code based driving time, and estimate the racial composition of all hospitalizations in that market. We then compare the racial composition of the hospital with the racial composition of its market. In our sample of 4.9 million hospital admissions, we find a considerable degree of sorting, with Black Medicare enrollees more likely admitted to some hospitals in their market, and less likely to be admitted to other hospitals nearby. At a regional level, we observed the greatest degree of patient sorting in the New York, Chicago, and Detroit HRRs.
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The journal of Rural Health
Emily P. Zeitler, Joanna Joly, Christopher G. Leggett, Sandra L.Wong, A. JamesO’Malley, Sally A. Kraft, Matthew B. Mackwood, Sarah T. Jones,Jonathan S. Skinner
The role of comorbidities, medications, and social determinants of health in understanding urban-rural outcome differences among patients with heart failure.
Military Medicine
Christopher G. Leggett, Rachel O. Schmidt, Jonathan Skinner, Jon D. Lurie, William Patrick Luan
Introduction There is a longstanding debate about whether health care is more efficiently provided by the public or private sector. The debate is particularly relevant to the Military Health System (MHS), which delivers care through a combination of …
Spine Health Services Research
Jon D. Lurie, Christopher G. Leggett, Jonathan Skinner, Eugene Carragee, Andrea M. Austin, and William Patrick Luan
Low back pain (LBP) is a common, potentially disabling, condition with an estimated point prevalence of 12% and a lifetime prevalence of 40%.1 LBP is a particular concern for the Military Health System (MHS) and a leading cause of medical separation from service for soldiers.2,3 From 2010 to 2014, LBP was associated with over 6 million outpatient visits and 25,000 hospitalizations among active service members4; much more active-duty personnel might be seen informally and triaged back to training without recorded visits within the MHS.
JAMA Neurology
Research Letter
Li J, Skinner JS, McGarry K, Nicholas LH, Wang SP, Bollens-Lund E, Kelley AS.
This case-control study uses Health and Retirement Study data to examine the trajectories of wealth among US older adults at risk of dementia.
Journal of Rural Health
Zeitler EP, Joly J, Leggett CG, Wong SL, O'Malley AJ, Kraft SA, Mackwood MB, Jones ST, Skinner JS
There is now a 20% disparity in all-cause, excess deaths between urban and rural areas, much of which is driven by disparities in cardiovascular death. We sought to explain the sources of these disparities for Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).
Among patients with HFrEF, living in a rural area is associated with an increased risk of death and return ER visits within 30 days of discharge from HF hospitalization. Differences in SDOH appear to partially explain mortality differences but the remaining gap may be the consequence of rural-urban differences in HF treatment.
JAMA Network OPEN
Nancy E. Morden, Weiping Zhou, Ziad Obermeyer, Jonathan Skinner
During the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, inpatient and ambulatory care
declined dramatically. Little is known about prescription drug receipt during this period, particularly
for populations with chronic illness and with high risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes and decreased
access to care.
Social Science & Medicine
A. James O’Malley, Thomas A. Bubolz, Jonathan S. Skinner
Many studies have examined the diffusion of health care innovations but less is known about the diffusion of health care fraud. In this paper, we consider the diffusion of potentially fraudulent Medicare home health care billing in the United States during 2002-16, with a focus on the 21 hospital referral regions (HRRs) covered by local Department of Justice anti-fraud “strike force” offices. We hypothesize that patient-sharing across home health care agencies provides a mechanism for the rapid diffusion of fraudulent strategies; we measure such activity using a novel bipartite mixture (or BMIX) network index. First, we find a remarkable increase in home health care activity between 2002 and 2009 in some but not all regions; average billing per Medicare enrollees in McAllen TX and Miami increased by $2,127 and $2,422 compared to a $289 increase in other HRRs not targeted by the Department of Justice. Second, we establish that the HRR-level BMIX (but not other network measures) was a strong predictor of above-average home care expenditures across HRRs. Third, within HRRs, agencies sharing more patients with other agencies were predicted to increase spending the following year. Finally, the initial 2002 BMIX index was a strong predictor of subsequent changes in HRR-level home health billing during 2002-9. These results highlight the importance of bipartite network structure in diffusion and in infection models more generally.
Journal of Palliative Medicine
Meredith A. MacMartin, Olivia A. Sacks, Andrea M. Austin,Gouri Chakraborti,Elizabeth A. Stedina,Jonathan S. Skinner, Amber E. Barnato
Palliative care units (PCUs) are devoted to intensive management of symptoms and other palliative care needs. We examined the association between opening a PCU and acute care processes at a single U.S. academic medical center.
We retrospectively compared acute care processes for seriously ill patients admitted before and after the opening of a PCU at a single academic medical center. Outcomes included rates of change in code status to do-not-resuscitate (DNR) and comfort measures only (CMO) status, and time to DNR and CMO. We calculated unadjusted and adjusted rates and used logistic regression to assess interaction between care period and palliative care consultation.
The Journal of the Economics of Ageing
Judith Bom, Pieter Bakx, Eddy van Doorslaer, Mette Gørtz, Jonathan Skinner
The share of older adults residing in a nursing home is much higher in the Netherlands and Denmark than in the US, while in the US, perhaps surprisingly, individuals are much more likely to be admitted to a nursing home. We explore reasons for the higher US admission rates and aim to understand to what extent these differences are due to (i) differences in the composition of the population aged 65+ or (ii) differences in LTC system features.
2021 RESEARCH
JAMA Health Forum
James N. Weinstein, William B. Weeks, Jonathan S. Skinner
In 1907, a financial collapse led to a major US national recession, a 17%decline in industrial output,1 and creation of the Federal Reserve system in 1913 to “provide a means by which periodic panics which shake the American Republic and do it enormous injury shall be stopped.”2 The current COVID-19 pandemic shares many of the same causes as the Panic of 1907: lack of a coordinated federal response, lax state-level regulations, and absence of clear strategies to respond and recover from the initial outbreak. Therefore, we propose a new entity paralleling the Federal Reserve —the Federal Health Authority (FHA)—to anticipate health shocks, coordinate future responses, and address longer-term problems in the nation’s health and health care. Just as the Federal Reserve is tasked with sustainably maximizing the nation’s financial health, the FHAwould be tasked with doing the same for the nation’s health.
Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M. Austin, Barbara Gladders, Parag Goyal, A. James O’Malley, Amber Barnato, Anna N.A, Tosteson, Jonathan S. Skinner
Neurohormonal therapy, which includes beta-blockers and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEi/ARBs), is the cornerstone of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) treatment. While neurohormonal therapies have demonstrated efficacy in randomized clinical trials, older patients, which now comprise the majority of HFrEF patients, were underrepresented in those original trials. This study aimed to determine the association between short- (30 day) and long-term (1 year) mortality and the use of neurohormonal therapy in HFrEF patients, across the age spectrum.
Journal of Economic Perspectives
Benjamin K. Couillard, Christopher L. Foote, Kavish Gandhi, Ellen Meara, and Jonathan Skinner
The 21st century has been a period of rising inequality in both income and health. In this paper, we find that geographic inequality in mortality for midlife Americans increased by about 70 percent between 1992 and 2016. This was not solely because of the increasing importance of “deaths of despair,” or by rising spatial income inequality during the same period. Instead, we find evidence that high-income states in 1992 were better able to enact public health strategies and adopt behaviors that, over the next quarter-century, resulted in pronounced relative declines in mortality. The substantial longevity gains in high-income states led to greater cross-state inequality in mortality.
Health Affairs (Millwood)
John D. Birkmeyer, Amber Barnato, Nancy Birkmeyer, Robert Kessler, Jonathan Skinner
Hospital admissions in the US fell dramatically with the onset of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. However, little is known about differences in admissions patterns among patient groups or the extent of the rebound. In this study of approximately one million medical admissions from a large, nationally representative hospitalist group, we found that declines in non-COVID-19 admissions from February to April 2020 were generally similar across patient demographic subgroups and exceeded 20 percent for all primary admission diagnoses. By late June/early July 2020, overall non-COVID-19 admissions had rebounded to 16 percent below prepandemic baseline volume (8 percent including COVID-19 admissions). Non-COVID-19 admissions were substantially lower for patients residing in majority-Hispanic neighborhoods (32 percent below baseline) and remained well below baseline for patients with pneumonia (−44 percent), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/asthma (−40 percent), sepsis (−25 percent), urinary tract infection (−24 percent), and acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (−22 percent). Health system leaders and public health authorities should focus on efforts to ensure that patients with acute medical illnesses can obtain hospital care as needed during the pandemic to avoid adverse outcomes.
American Geriatric Society
Amber E. Barnato, John D. Birkmeyer, Jonathan S. Skinner, A. James O’Malley, Nancy J. O. Birkmeyer
Background: We sought to determine whether dementia is associated with treatment intensity and
mortality in patients hospitalized with COVID-19.
Methods: Review of the medical records for patients > 60 years of age (n=5,394) hospitalized with
COVID-19 from 132 community hospitals between March and June, 2020. We examined the
relationships between dementia and treatment intensity (including intensive care unit admission (ICU)
and mechanical ventilation (MV) and care processes that may influence them, including advance care
planning (ACP) billing and do-not-resuscitate (DNR) orders) and in-hospital mortality adjusting for age,
sex, race/ethnicity, comorbidity, month of hospitalization, and clustering within hospital. We further
explored the effect of ACP conversations on the relationship between dementia and outcomes, both at
the individual patient level (effect of having ACP) and at the hospital level (effect of being treated at a
hospital with low: <10%, medium 10-20%, or high >20% ACP rates)…
JAMA Internal Medicine
Ezekiel J. Emanuel, Emily Gudbranson, Jessica Van Parys, et al
Question Are the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties better than the health outcomes of average residents in other developed countries?
Findings In this comparative effectiveness study of 6 health outcomes, White US citizens in the 1% and 5% highest-income counties obtained better health outcomes than average US citizens but had worse outcomes for infant and maternal mortality, colon cancer, childhood acute lymphocytic leukemia, and acute myocardial infarction compared with average citizens of other developed countries.
Meaning For 6 health outcomes, the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties are better than those of average US citizens but are not consistently better than those of average residents in many other developed countries, suggesting that in the US, even if everyone achieved the health outcomes of White US citizens living in the 1% and 5% richest counties, health indicators would still lag behind those in many other countries.
Abstract
Importance The average health outcomes in the US are not as good as the average health outcomes in other developed countries. However, whether high-income US citizens have better health outcomes than average individuals in other developed countries is unknown….
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Olivia A Sacks, Amber E Barnato, Jonathan S Skinner, John D Birkmeyer, Annie Fowler, Nancy Birkmeyer
There have been numerous reports of SARS-CoV-2 infection among health care workers (HCWs) across the globe. However, data is lacking on risk of hospital vs. community COVID-19 exposure faced by US providers. We report COVID-19 infection rates for physicians (MDs) and advance practice providers (APPs) in hospital medicine and critical care at a national acute care medical practice between March and December 2020.
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M Austin, A James O’Malley, Barbara Gladders, Amber E Barnato, Anna Tosteson, Jonathan Skinner
Background
The demographics of heart failure are changing. The rate of growth of the “older” heart failure population, specifically those≥ 75, has outpaced that of any other age group. These older patients were underrepresented in the early beta-blocker trials. There are several reasons, including a decreased potential for mortality benefit and increased risk of side effects, why the risk/benefit tradeoff may be different in this population.
Objective
We aimed to determine the association between receipt of a beta-blocker after heart failure discharge and early mortality and readmission rates among patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), specifically patients aged 75+.
Journal of General Internal Medicine
Lauren Gilstrap, Andrea M Austin, Barbara Gladders, Parag Goyal, A James O'Malley, Amber Barnato, Anna NA Tosteson, Jonathan S Skinner
Background/Objectives
Neurohormonal therapy, which includes beta‐blockers and angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEi/ARBs), is the cornerstone of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) treatment. While neurohormonal therapies have demonstrated efficacy in randomized clinical trials, older patients, which now comprise the majority of HFrEF patients, were underrepresented in those original trials. This study aimed to determine the association between short‐ (30 day) and long‐term (1 year) mortality and the use of neurohormonal therapy in HFrEF patients, across the age spectrum.
Design/Setting/Participants
This is a population‐based, retrospective, cohort study between January 2008 and December 2015. We used 100% Medicare Parts A and B and a random 40% sample of Part D to create a cohort of 295,494 fee‐for‐service beneficiaries with at least …
Journal of the American Heart Association
Michael N Young, Stephen Kearing, David Malenka, Philip P Goodney, Jonathan Skinner, Alexander Iribarne
Background
Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has transformed the management of aortic valve stenosis. However, little national data are available characterizing the geographic and demographic dispersion of this disruptive technology relative to surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR).
Methods and Results
In this US claims‐based study, we analyzed a 100% sample of fee‐for‐service Medicare beneficiaries from 2012 to 2017 and examined national rates of TAVR versus SAVR. Procedure rates were compared across years as a function of age, sex, race, and geography for TAVR and SAVR beneficiaries. There was significant growth in TAVR from 15.4 beneficiaries/100 000 enrollees in 2012 to 90.6 in 2017 (P<0.001). SAVR rates declined from 92.8 beneficiaries/100 000 enrollees in 2012 to 63.5 in 2017 (P<0.001). The growth of TAVR varied as a function of age (P<0.0001). While TAVR was the …
2020 RESEARCH
Health Affairs
John D. Birkmeyer, Amber Barnato, Nancy Birkmeyer, Robert Bessler, and Jonathan Skinner
Hospital admissions in the US fell dramatically with the onset of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. However, little is known about differences in admissions patterns among patient groups or the extent of the rebound. In this study of approximately 1 million medical admissions from a large nationally representative hospitalist group, we found that declines in non-COVID-19 admissions from February to April 2020 were generally similar across patient demographic subgroups and exceeded 20% for all primary admission diagnoses. By late June/early July 2020, overall non-COVID-19 admissions had rebounded to 16% below pre-pandemic baseline volume (8% including COVID-19 admissions). Non-COVID-19 admissions were substantially lower for patients residing in majority-Hispanic neighborhoods (32% below baseline) and remained well below baseline for patients with pneumonia (−44%), COPD/asthma (−40%), sepsis (−25%), urinary tract infection (−24%) and acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), −22%). Health system leaders and public health authorities should focus on efforts to ensure that patients with acute medical illnesses can obtain hospital care as needed during the pandemic to avoid adverse outcomes.
JAMA Network
Weifeng Weng, PhD; Jessica Van Parys, PhD; Rebecca S. Lipner, PhD; Jonathan S. Skinner, PhD; Brenda E. Sirovich, MD, MS
Use of healthcare services and physician practice patterns have been shown to vary widely across the United States. Although practice patterns—in particular, physicians’ ability to provide high-quality, high-value care—develop during training, the association of a physician’s regional practice environment with that ability is less well understood.
Military Medicine
William Patrick Luan, DrPH; LCDR Todd C. Leroux , MSC, USN; Cara Olsen, DrPH;
Lt. Gen. (Ret.) Douglas Robb , MC, USAF; Jonathan S. Skinner, PhD; Patrick Richard, PhD
Within the Military Health System (MHS), facilities have struggled to meet minimum recommended volume thresholds for certain procedures. Understanding variations in complication rates and cost can help policymakers tailor policy to target improvement. Our objective was to quantify the variation in bariatric surgery complication rates and costs across a sample of military hospitals. Materials and Methods: We study a retrospective cohort of 38 military surgeons practicing in 21 military treatment facilities from 2007 to 2014 who performed 1,277 bariatric surgeries. Data from the Centralized Credentials and Quality Assurance System, which provides education and training characteristics of physicians, were linked to patient encounter data from the MHS Data Repository. Physicians were included if they performed at least five bariatric surgeries over the study period. Patients were included if they had a diagnosis of obesity (body mass index > 30) and underwent a bariatric weight loss surgery. We calculated and summarized inpatient costs and complication rates across both surgeons and facilities using multivariable mixed-effects linear or logistic models. We used these models to calculate adjusted complication rates and average costs across both providers and hospitals to characterize variation in bariatric outcomes within the MHS. This study was considered exempt by the Uniformed Services University Institutional Review Board. Results: We find evidence of large variations in both complication rates and costs per admission. Overall, we found a 15.5% complication rate across the sample. When comparing averages across facilities, we find large variation in complications (49.4% coefficient of variation [CV]) and procedure costs (25.9% CV). Controlling for patient comorbidities, BMI, and year attenuates much of the variation (12.6% CV complications, 4.4% CV cost), but cannot completely explain differences across facilities. Our model suggests that complications cost 32% more than complication-free surgeries on average suggesting that quality improvement efforts could potentially yield large savings. Conclusions: We find large variations in complication rates even after controlling for patient health. Furthermore, surgical complications are a significant determinant of cost. Policymakers should target efforts to improve surgical quality across facilities and physicians. Surgical quality improvement initiatives could produce savings to the MHS through reduced complications and improved surgical readiness.
JAGS
Amy S. Kelley, MD, MSHS, Kathleen McGarry, PhD, Evan Bollens-Lund, MA, Omari-Khalid Rahman, MA, Mohammed Husain, MA, Katelyn B. Ferreira, MPH, and Jonathan S. Skinner, PhD
Care for older adults with dementia during the final years of life is costly, and families shoulder much of this burden. We aimed to assess the financial burden of care for those with and without dementia, and to explore differences across residential settings.
Circulation: Cardiovascular Quality and Outcomes
Lauren Gilstrap, MD, MPH, Jonathan S. Skinner, PhD, Barbara Gladders, MS, A. James O’Malley, PhD, Amber E. Barnato, MD,MPH, Anna N. A. Tosteson, ScD, Andrea M. Austin, PhD
To combat the high cost and increasing burden of quality reporting, the Medicare Payment Advisory (MedPAC) has recommended using claims data wherever possible to measure clinical quality. In this article, we use a cohort of Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction and existing quality metrics to explore the impact of changes in quality metric methodology on measured quality performance, the association with patient outcomes, and hospital rankings.
Journal of Patient-Reported Outcomes
Paul J. Barr , Scott A. Berry , Wendolyn S. Gozansky , Deanna B. McQuillan , Colleen Ross , Don Carmichael, Andrea M. Austin , Travis D. Satterlund , Karen E. Schifferdecker , Lora Council , Michelle D. Dannenberg , Ariel T. Wampler , Eugene C. Nelson and Jonathan Skinner
Objective: It is unclear whether data from patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) are captured and used by clinicians despite policy initiatives. We examined the extent to which fall risk and urinary incontinence (UI) reported on PROMS and provided to clinicians prior to a patient visit are subsequently captured in the electronic medical record (EMR). Additionally, we aimed to determine whether the use of PROMs and EMR documentation is higher for visits where PROM data was provided to clinicians.
Journal of the American Geriatric Society
Kelley AS, McGarry K, Bollens-Lund E, Rahman OK, Husain M, Ferreira KB, Skinner JS.
Care for older adults with dementia during the final years of life is costly, and families shoulder much of this burden. We aimed to assess the financial burden of care for those with and without dementia, and to explore differences across residential settings. Using the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) and linked claims, we examined total healthcare spending and proportion by payer-Medicare, Medicaid, out-of-pocket, and calculated costs of informal caregiving-over the last 7 years of life, comparing those with and without dementia and stratifying by residential setting. We found that, consistent with prior studies, people with dementia experience significantly higher costs, with a disproportionate share falling on patients and families. This pattern is most striking among community residents with dementia, whose families shoulder 64% of total expenditures (including $176,180 informal caregiving costs and $55,550 out-of-pocket costs), compared with 43% for people with dementia residing in nursing homes ($60,320 informal caregiving costs and $105,590 out-of-pocket costs). These findings demonstrate disparities in financial burden shouldered by families of those with dementia, particularly among those residing in the community. They highlight the importance of considering the residential setting in research, programs, and policies.
2019 Research
Statistics in Medicine
A. James O'Malley, Erika L. Moen, Julie P. W. Bynum, Andrea M. Austin, Jonathan S. Skinner
We develop methodology that allows peer effects (also referred to as social influ- ence and contagion) to be modified by the structural importance of the focal actor's position in the network. The methodology is first developed for a sin- gle peer effect and then extended to simultaneously model multiple peer-effects and their modifications by the structural importance of the focal actor. This work is motivated by the diffusion of implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) in patients with congestive heart failure across a cardiovascular dis- ease patient-sharing network of United States hospitals. We apply the general methodology to estimate peer effects for the adoption of capability to implant ICDs, the number of ICD implants performed by hospitals that are capable, and the number of patients referred to other hospitals by noncapable hospi- tals. Applying our novel methodology to study ICD diffusion across hospitals, we find evidence that exposure to ICD-capable peer hospitals is strongly asso- ciated with the chance a hospital becomes ICD-capable and that the direction and magnitude of the association is extensively modified by the strength of that hospital's position in the network, even after controlling for effects of geography. Therefore, interhospital networks, rather than geography per se, may explain key patterns of regional variations in healthcare utilization.
JAMA Network
Rebecca T. Emeny, PhD, MPH; Chiang-Hua Chang, PhD; Jonathan Skinner, PhD; A. James O’Malley, PhD; Jeremy Smith, MPH; Gouri Chakraborti, MA; Clifford J. Rosen, MD; Nancy E. Morden, MD, MPH
Manyprescriptiondrugsincreasefracturerisk,whichraisesconcernforpatients receiving 2 or more such drugs concurrently. Logic suggests that risk will increase with each additional drug, but the risk of taking multiple fracture-associated drugs (FADs) is unknown.
ToestimatehipfractureriskassociatedwithconcurrentexposuretomultipleFADs.
Journal of Hospital Medicine
Amber E Barnato, MD, MPH, MS; A James O’Malley, PhD; Jonathan S Skinner, PhD; John D Birkmeyer, MD
Advance care planning (ACP) is the process where- in patients, in discussions with their healthcare providers, family members, and other loved ones, make individual decisions about their fu- ture healthcare or prepare proxies to guide future medical treatment decisions.1,2 In 2016, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) began paying providers for ACP by using billing codes 99497 (first 30 min of ACP) and 99498 (additional 30 min of ACP). According to the CMS, during the first year after the billing codes were introduced, 22,864 providers billed for ACP conversations with 574,621 patients.3 While all adults are eligible, common triggers for ACP in- clude advanced age, serious illness, and functional status changes that confer an increased risk of dying. We explored the early uptake of the ACP billing code in a large national physician practice that provided mandatory education in use of the ACP billing code, offered a small financial incentive for ACP documentation, and primed physicians to reflect on the patient’s risk of dying in the next year at the time of hospital admission.
Social Science & Medicine
Austin AM, Carmichael DQ, Bynum JPW, Skinner JS.
Racial disparities in the end-of-life treatment of patients are a well observed fact of the U.S. healthcare system. Less is known about how the physicians treating patients at the end-of-life influence the care received. Social networks have been widely used to study interactions with the healthcare system using physician patient-sharing networks. In this paper, we propose an extension of the dissimilarity index (DI), classically used to study geographic racial segregation, to study differences in patient care patterns in the healthcare system. Using the proposed measure, we quantify the unevenness of referrals (sharing) by physicians in a given region by their patients' race and how this relates to the treatments they receive at the end-of-life in a cohort of Medicare fee-for-service patients with Alzheimer's disease and related dementias. We apply the measure nationwide to physician patient-sharing networks, and in a sub-study comparing four regions with similar racial distribution, Washington, DC, Greenville, NC, Columbus, GA, and Meridian, MS. We show that among regions with similar racial distribution, a large dissimilarity index in a region (Washington, DC DI = 0.86 vs. Meridian, MS DI = 0.55), which corresponds to more distinct referral networks for black and white patients by the same physician, is correlated with black patients with Alzheimer's disease and related dementias receiving more aggressive care at the end-of-life (including ICU and ventilator use), and less aggressive quality care (early hospice care).
The Journal of Ambulatory Care Management
Austin AM1, Carmichael D, Berry S, Gozansky WS, Nelson EC, Skinner JS, Barr PJ.
Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) have great promise, but evidence of success is mixed. This study uses data from Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center and Kaiser-Permanente Colorado to evaluate providing PROMs directly to the primary care physician. We compared changes over time in urinary incontinence, falls, and mental and physical health between clinics providing augmented PROMs (N = 202 patients) and control clinics (N = 102 patients). Both the control and treatment groups exhibited improvements, but there was no significant difference in outcomes over time. These results suggest that measuring and printing out PROMs for primary care physicians will not result in better patient outcomes without physician clinical engagement.
JAMA Network
Rebecca T. Emeny, PhD, MPH; Chiang-Hua Chang, PhD; Jonathan Skinner, PhD; A. James O’Malley, PhD; Jeremy Smith, MPH; Gouri Chakraborti, MA;Clifford J. Rosen, MD; Nancy E. Morden, MD, MPH
Choosing between competing treatment options is difficult for patients and clinicians when results from randomized and observational studies are discordant. Observational real-world studies yield more generalizable evidence for decision making than randomized clinical trials, but unmeasured confounding, especially in time-to-event analyses, can limit validity.
Regional Science & Urban Economics
Francesco Moscone, Jonathan Skinner, Elisa Tosetti, Laura Yasaitis
As health care spending continues to strain government and household budgets, there is increasing interest in measuring whether the incremental dollar spent on health care is worth it. In studying this question, researchers often make two key assumptions: that health care intensity can be summarized by a single index such as average spending, and that samples of hospitals or regions are spatially independent: Manhattan and the Bronx are no more alike than are Manhattan and San Diego, for example. In this paper we relax both assumptions. Using detailed data on 897,008 elderly Medicare enrolees with acute myocardial infarction (or a heart attack) during 2007–11, we find first that the total level of health care spending has little impact on health outcomes; more important is how the money is spent. …
American Economic Journal
David Cutler, Jonathan S. Skinner, Ariel Dora Stern, and David Wennberg*
There is considerable controversy about the causes of regional variations in health care expenditures. Using vignettes from patient and physician surveys linked to fee-for-service Medicare expenditures, this study asks whether patient demand-side factors or physician supply-side factors explain these variations. The results indicate that patient demand is relatively unimportant in explaining variations. Physician organizational factors matter, but the most important factor is physician beliefs about treatment. In Medicare, we estimate that 35 percent of spending for end-of-life care and 12 percent of spending for heart attack patients (and for all enrollees) is associated with physician beliefs unsupported by clinical evidence. (JEL D83, H75, I11, I18)
2018 Research
JAMA
Jonathan Skinner, PhD; Amitabh Chandra, PhD
In 2013, the growth rate in US health care spending of 3.6% was the lowest in 50 years. Health policy experts and the media viewed the “unprecedented” decline as demonstrating that growth in health care costs had finally slowed.1 However, one number that was not consistent with this popular narrative was employment growth in the health care sector. In 2013, health care jobs continued to increase by 1.4%, slightly below the annual average of 1.9% during the prior 5 years.
Medical Care
Moen EL, Bynum JP, Austin AA, Skinner JS, Chakraborti G, O’Malley AJ
Implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) therapy is used for primary prevention of death among people with heart failure, and new evidence in 2005 on its effectiveness changed practice guidelines in the United States. The objective of this study is to examine how the connectedness of physicians and hospitals, measured using network analysis, relates to guideline-consistent ICD implantation. We constructed physician and hospital networks for cardiovascular disease. Physicians were linked if they shared cardiovascular disease patients; these links were aggregated by hospital affiliation to construct a hospital network…
JAMA
Amy Finkelstein, PhD; Yunan Ji, BA; Neale Mahoney, PhD; Jonathan Skinner, PhD
As part of a 5-year, mandatory-participation randomized trial by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, eligible metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) were randomized to the Comprehensive Care for Joint Replacement (CJR) bundled payment model for LEJR episodes or to a control group. In the first performance year, hospitals received bonus payments if Medicare spending for LEJR episodes was below the target price and hospitals met quality standards. This interim analysis reports first-year data on LEJR episodes starting April 1, 2016, with data collection through December 31, 2016.
Health Affairs
Jonathan S. Skinner
Health economics as a profession has grown exponentially in the past half-century, but not everyone agrees on what health economics is. Many physicians think that health economists spend their days tabulating prices for cost-effectiveness studies. I once was called by a large pharmaceutical company seeking to recruit a health economist. Puzzled as to why any profitable company would want to employ me, I asked what they meant by “health economics.” With a sigh, the recruiter responded: “To prepare a business case for marketing new drugs.”
Cardiovascular Quality and Outcomes
Jesse A. Columbo, Ravinder Kang, Spencer W. Trooboff, Kristen S. Jahn, Camilo J. Martinez, Kayla O. Moore, Andrea M. Austin, Nancy E. Morden, Corinne G. Brooks, Jonathan S. Skinner, Philip P. Goodney
We devised an 8-step process to derive and validate ICD10 codes from an existing set of ICD-9 codes representing outcomes across several body systems (Figure 1). This process was developed in an iterative fashion with input from all coauthors and shared with collaborators as part of an ongoing National Institute on Aging Program Project (P01-AG019783).
Medical Care
Alexander J. Mainor, JD, MPH, Nancy E. Morden, MD, MPH, Jeremy Smith, MPH, Stephanie Tomlin, MS, MPA, and Jonathan Skinner, PhD
Using an analysis of Medicare data before and after the switch, we illustrate potential pitfalls of these crosswalks. We test some available translations by measuring weekly frequencies of common conditions during the transition and reveal the discontinuity of measures temporally aligned with the adoption of ICD-10 (October 1, 2015, the first day of the fourth quarter of 2015). We then suggest addressing this problem by creating a public good for all researchers, using a web-based platform, “Dataverse” for sharing ICD-9 and comparable ICD-10 definitions, rate comparisons that quantify the discontinuity in diverse datasets (to allow adjustment for comparisons over time), and the programming code used to make the comparisons. Our exploration of inpatient diagnostic code discontinuity illustrates the problem and serves as a starting point for the envisioned shared resource that would include a broad range of datasets.
Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
Julie Bynum, MD, MPH, Honor Passow, PhD, Donald Carmichael, MDiv, and Jonathan Skinner, PhD
Using PSA screening, we aimed to understand which factors influence practice change during a period when a decline in service use would be expected. First, we focused on national PSA screening in men aged 68 and older with fee-for-service Medicare from 2003 to 2013 and examine the influence of guidelines by assessing changes in likelihood of screening associated with factors directly mentioned in guidelines. Second, we focused on practice change across U.S. hospital referral regions (HRRs) for men aged 75 and older – for whom guidelines have been in agreement – to test whether practice variation declines and what contextual factors are associated with greater decline. We hypothesized that guidelines and the practice environment would influence the degree to which practitioners and patients would reduce their use of an existing practice in the face of converging evidence regarding effectiveness.
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OCED Observer
Jonathan S. Skinner and Amitabh Chandra
Countries around the world are struggling with rising healthcare bills. Every introduction of pricey new biologics, surgical procedures, and exotic “precision” treatments causes ever- increasing fiscal stress, leading to deficit spending, cutbacks in other government services, and insurance costs shouldered by firms and employees alike. Yet, freezing budgetary allocations is clearly not an option, as citizens in our ageing societies are likely to demand more and better access to new health innovations, and essential healthcare services. What can be done?
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The journal of Rural Health
Emily P. Zeitler, Joanna Joly, Christopher G. Leggett, Sandra L.Wong, A. JamesO’Malley, Sally A. Kraft, Matthew B. Mackwood, Sarah T. Jones,Jonathan S. Skinner
The role of comorbidities, medications, and social determinants of health in understanding urban-rural outcome differences among patients with heart failure.
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